1:17 AM Eastern: Calling it a night, need to work tomorrow. Looks like Kloppenburg has hope in Dane (1), Eau Claire (6), Milwaukee (12) and a smattering of others. Prosser has hope in Marathon (32), Jefferson (1), Manitowoc (1) and not much else. Prosser’s lead down to 1.7k. Could go either way, but I doubt we will know for hours – and then the recount and court filings and ….. Good night!
1:02 AM Eastern: Can’t type fast enough to keep up. Some Dane precincts shrunk Prosser’s lead to 2.4k. 21 precincts left for Kloppenburg, about 32 for Prosser. The wire is approaching.
1:00 AM Eastern: Fasten those seat belts folks. Prosser just jumped out to a 4.7k vote lead, still 97% reporting and 50-50% race. Ozaukee and Racine came in and bumped Prosser good, Marathon still has about 32 precincts left to report.
12:56 AM Eastern: Seesaw! Something came in (looks like a Milwaikee district) and bumped Kloppenburg up by 1.6k votes, but there are still enough precincts out to move this either way. still 97% reporting – Update: Learned Racine is still in the race and will soon add 3k more to Prosser.
12:47 AM Eastern: Its up to Marathon and Ozaukee to hold the lead as the final precincts dribble in. 97% reporting and Prosser is clinging to 1.9k vote lead (50-50%).
12:40 AM Eastern: OK, I am reversing myself here – looks like a Prosser squeaker. Dane county is tapped out, yet Prosser now holds a 2k vote lead with 95% reporting. That has it 50-50 race, but I don’t see where Kloppenburg can make up the difference. Prosser still has a junk coming from Waukesha and Marathon – Washington apparently pushed him up and over and is now spent.
12:30 AM Eastern: Prosser takes a small lead (0.6k votes) with a bump from Waukesha. Dane still has some juice left in it though so it is not done yet. But Marathon has some votes for Prosser as well – speaking of ironies. Watch Washington (Prosser) as well.
12:25 AM Eastern: For political junkies it does not get any better than this. It is right down to the wire in WI. 92% of precincts reporting has a tiny 1.5k vote lead and it is 50-50. Some think more Prosser precincts are still out, but I won’t be convinced until the large Dane-liberal precincts tap out. Its a fight between Marathon and Waukesha (Prosser) vs Dane right now.
12:15 AM Eastern: Wowza! 90% reporting and it is 50-50% with Kloppenburg ahead by a tiny 1.7k votes. I have never seen a lead shrink so fast so late. But now it looks like Prosser’s strongholds are tapping out (Fond du Lac produced a surge as expected). Must be busting the models tonight. Recount looks unavoidable (though I don’t know WI rules on this).
12:10 AM Eastern: HOLD THE PRESSES! 88% reporting, back to 50-50% and Kloppenburg’s 35k lead is now down to 5k. Hot Air has a link expecting a Prosser squeaker now. Someone go refill the beer and popcorn!
12:02 AM Eastern: Last update. Looks like a Kloppenburg squeaker win. Prosser did incredibly well, and the unions do not come away with a voter mandate. 84% reporting Kloppenburg has a comfortable 35k lead, but only a 51-49% possible win margin. No mandate, no referendum on Walker. Classic Pyrrhic victory as government unions lose ground across the country and barely win a marginal election in WI. LOL! can’t wait to read the silly hype tomorrow.
11:55 PM Eastern: Seesaw killjoy. 81% reporting Kloppenburg jumps to 51-49% lead and 18k. If this is not her last gasp, and the unreported GOP precincts don’t produce, it could be squeaker loss for Prosser. – Update: the Prosser precincts are reporting in finally, not good. Still enough Kloppenburg areas left to win this. As I said this morning – a tight leftwing win simply means their last bastion of union core support barely survived. The laws will still go into effect.
11:50 PM Eastern: 78% reporting, 50-50% and Kloppenburg holds a narrow 8k lead. But huge GOP bastions in Waukesha, Washington and Ozaukee have a lot of results left to report – could tally many tens of thousands to Prosser. Kloppenburg’s areas are just about tapped out.
11:40 PM Eastern: 71% reporting in, still 50-50% and Kloppenburg has 6k lead. I am watching Waukasha, which only shows 25% of precincts in and a Prosser lead of 73-27%. If the margin in the other 75% of precinct is even close, Prosser could jump by up to 90k votes. There are also a lot of decent sized areas not reporting. Anyone’s guess right now.
11:25 PM Eastern: Fast and furious now. 66% reporting, 50-50% Kloppenbug has slim 1.4k lead.
11:23 PM Eastern: Seesaw is making me queasy – but in a good way this cycle. with 64% of the vote in Prosser is back into a 51-49% lead and a 18k vote lead. I still see a lot of potential Prosser gains out there. If Prosser pulls this off, the knees will be cut out from under the unions and left. The bastion of union policy will have turned a corner.
11:17 PM Eastern: Ouch! 61% reporting an Kloppenburg jumps to a 51-49% lead and 11k votes. But I see potentially 50K Prosser votes out there potentially. Nails gone.
11:10 PM Eastern: Incredible. I see a lot of potential precincts not reporting which should/could push Prosser way over the top. The liberal bastions are mostly in and the GOP bastions have a lot of votes to offset them. Right now 58% reporting in and Kloppenburg holds a thin 4k lead at 50-50. But the left’s potential may be spent.
11:00 PM Eastern: Wow, what a seesaw. 51% reporting in we are back to 50-50 as the liberal precincts finally cough up tallies. Prosser still holds a slim 1k lead. Nail biter!
10:55 PM Eastern: As we approach 50% of precincts reporting we would normally see the edge solidify for one or the other candidate. The problem is the massive and very liberal Dane precincts are not reporting (must be finding those needed missing votes0. As of now 46% reporting Prosser has a good 52-48% lead with a 29k lead. The fat lady is warming her pipes.
10:45 PM Eastern: Big jump for Prosser at a good time. He has moved to a 52-48% lead, but more importantly 38% of the precincts are reporting in and he has opened a 18k lead. What is worrisome is the liberal strong hold of Dane has 3/4’s of its precincts out. This is truly exciting.
10:30 PM Eastern: The seesaw tips back to 50-505, Prosser still holds a 2k lead. Lots of liberal precincts may still be out.
10:25 PM Eastern: 24% in and Prosser is holding a small lead 51-49% with around 7k votes. Once we get near 45-50% reporting this race should cement into place.
10:08 PM Eastern: 17% in and its back to 50-50%. A better site to see results by county is here. 1.4k votes separate the two candidates.
10:00 PM Eastern: Presser is slowly expanding a tenuous lead in votes. With 12% reporting he leads 51-49%, but has amassed a 5.4k vote tally lead. Looks like this will be a nail biter. No clue which precincts are reporting (D or R).
9:42 PM Eastern: With a miniscule 6% of the vote in it’s a dead heat with 50-50. The turn out was apparently off the charts, which in my opinion means the people will speak loud and clear. Fingers crossed they also speak sanely.