I believe the moment the President’s trust and support from the American people snapped was actually before the debate debacle. The debate just cemented the verdict on this President. My view, which I have meant to post for some time – but seemed so obvious to be unworthy, was the October Surprise that nails one candidate but good each cycle was this time a horrible, self-inflicted disaster.

That disaster was the Benghazi terrorist attack. Not just the attack, but the entire story before and after. Before there were warnings, pleas for more security resources while this administration made cuts in security resources. There were actual escalating attacks on the very target hit. Of all the places in the world to cut costs, Beghazi, Libya should have been one of the last places on the planet (along with Iran and Afghanistan of course). The criminal incompetence of this inexperienced administration is being exposed, and it is very, very disturbing:

Weeks before the presidential election, President Barack Obama’s administration faces mounting opposition from within the ranks of U.S. intelligence agencies over what career officers say is a “cover up” of intelligence information about terrorism in North Africa.

Intelligence held back from senior officials and the public includes numerous classified reports revealing clear Iranian support for jihadists throughout the tumultuous North Africa and Middle East region, as well as notably widespread al Qaeda penetration into Egypt and Libya in the months before the deadly Sept. 11 terrorist attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi.

…

Officials with access to intelligence reports, based on both technical spying and human agents, said specific reporting revealed an alarming surge in clandestine al Qaeda activity months before the attack in Benghazi.

Yet the Obama administration sought to keep the information from becoming public to avoid exposing what the officials say is a Middle East policy failure by Obama.

Did a naive Obama (and his true brain: Valerie Jarrett) really think they could wish away al Qaeda? Did they really leave al Qaeda’s prime target (the Ambassador that pushed for the liberation of Libya) exposed and open like this?

Clearly so. The real proof comes in the dumb ass attempt at a cover up afterwards. Only a colossal failure prior to the attack could spawn such a stupid rational afterwards. The response to Benghazi has panic written all over it .

Instead of admitting the obvious (that people armed with military grade weapons, real targeting information and real intelligence on the Ambassador’s exit strategies indicates a preplanned attack), the Obama administration lamely tried to claim the incident was a spontaneous response to silly video. I mean – really?

Why even pretend like this? Is that the level of respect this administration holds the American people in that they think such a childish lie would work?

Or is this the best this incompetent team can conjure when put to the test?

Sadly, the answer is probably both. What is clear is the liberal news media’s efforts to cover for Team Obama on this was never going to work. Those carrying this water look to be true dupes, because this cover is the lamest cover up ever concocted.

Here is the deal. Even if true, being ignorant of the real facts on the ground for 6 days is incompetence writ large. Lying for 6 days about the real facts on the ground is criminal incompetence writ large. And missing months of warning signs, pleas for help and actual attacks is impeachable.

Thankfully, the voters can avoid the entire impeachment thingy come November. And I bet they will grasp that opportunity without hesitation.

Empty chairs lead to negligence. The President who deliberately missed repeated intelligence  briefings allowed a US ambassador to be killed under completely avoidable conditions. If Obama is this bad at protecting a single ambassador, there is no way he is capable of protecting this nation and the rest of its people.

As Clint Eastwood noted, this means we fire the man we hired with high expectations 4 years ago and replace him.

Hat tip to Jeff Condon at Air Vent (glad to see him posting again):

Funny, but pathetically sad all at the same time. Pass it along folks – and get this doctor into the US Senate ASAP. BTW, I did not know the US Surgeon General was the poster child for Michelle’s school lunch program.

Update: Hmmm, This is interesting:

The first post-presidential debate poll in critical Ohio shows that Mitt Romney blunted President Obama’s momentum with his winning performance and is now leading the president among Ohioans who say that they are “certain” to vote.

Overall, the race is deadlocked with Obama over Romney 50 percent to 49 percent, according to the poll taken Thursday night.

But among the stunning 92 percent of all voters in the state who say that they are certain to go to the polls on Election Day, Romney leads 51 percent to 48 percent.

I was wondering if the irritated insurgent voter may come out of hiding in the polls before the actual voting takes place. Will be hard to know if a shift is happening due to the debate, or some underlying and long term factor. There is a shift in the Force, that much is for sure. – end update

In a recent post I postulated that the 2010 insurgent voting block that swept the GOP to historic midterm election in 2010 (and showed itself in 2009 VA, NJ, 2011 MA) with wins across all levels of government  was so pissed off with the Political Industrial Complex and politics as usual that they were actively resisting being sampled by pollsters. We may see an indication this is true.

This theory is not very far fetched since Main Street’s irritation with our current Political Class of Screw Ups has reached a fevered pitch – pushed higher and higher by liberals run amok spending 2-3 generations worth of deficit dollars in a huge failed experiment of Government Trickle-Down economics (BTW, I have been using that term here for years – see here, here, here and here for examples). The voters are red-hot fed up, so they don’t want anything to do with politics until it comes to the voting booth.

As I noted in that prior post, a poll has to assume all views are sampled in a manner that reflect their actual percentage in the general population. Statistics 101 – a good representative sample gives you a representative result. But what if one large, intense and uniform group resists the sampling? Well then you get a false result, one that CANNOT factor in the missing data. And in this case, the missing data is pretty much uniformly anti-big-government, and therefore anti-Democrat and anti-Obama.

In the current RCP poll for Ohio, Obama is enjoying a ‘polling’ lead over Romney of 5.5% (49-43.5%). But since Ohio is now in the process of early voting, we actually get to compare absentee vote requests to polling samples to see if there is my suspected gap – and there is:

In a remarkable reversal of fortune for President Obama in Ohio, the GOP has closed the huge gap in absentee ballot requests used by early voters that favored the Democrats and the president in 2008, setting up what one state analyst said could be a Mitt Romney blowout on Election Day.

While in 2008, 33 percent of the 1,158,301 absentee ballots went to Democrats and just 19 percent to registered Republicans, a 14-point gap, this year 29 percent are being requested by Democrats and 24 percent by Republicans, a five-point gap.

And in a sign that the enthusiasm of 2008 voters is depressed, just 638,997 absentee ballots have been requested…

Bold is obviously mine. So let me help those out whose eyes glaze over and go into a trance when numbers are presented. In 2008:

• Democrats requested 382,239 absentee ballots
• Republicans requested 220, 077
• The rest is 602,316 (lets just model these as ‘independents’ for arguments sake)

In 2008 Obama won Ohio by 51-47%, and he took independents by 54-44%. This is clearly not what is happening now.

Based on the numbers above, 2010 looks like this:

• Democrat requested 185,309 ballots (50% less than 4 years ago)
• Republicans requested 153, 359 (30% less than 4 years ago).

So the Democrat intensity is way, way down. If you look at the 2008 D/R ratio it was 1.7 (meaning for every GOP voter there was 1.7 Dem voters). In 2010 that ratio is 1.2. In 2008 the GOP voters were nearly outnumbered 2-1, today it is near parity.

But that us not all, the  independent voters this year are clearly opposed to President Obama (as has been seen in almost all polls). If Romney has independents in Ohio, he wins because the Dems and GOP are at near parity.

The news is even worse when you dive into the details of the story:

The Republicans have shrunk the gap nine percent overall since 2008, but when we examine key counties in Ohio, the numbers become even more dramatic.

–Champaign County: Was +3% GOP, now +23% GOP – 20 point shift.

–Columbiana County: Was +9% DEM, now +9% GOP – 18 point shift.

–Crawford County: Was +3% DEM, now +12% GOP – 15 point shift.

More counties are listed in the story, but they all show the same trend. So how is it the polls show a race similar to 2008 (Obama +4%), but the absentee voting pattern shows a Romney win?

Could be my theory was correct after all. A group of monolithic and determined voters are actively refusing to be sampled. Or, the Dem turnout is more depressed than anyone could imagine. Either way, Obama looks to be heading for a shellacking in November.

Tags: 2012 elections, Absentee Ballots, Early Voting, Ohio

Romney just won the Tea Party/Libertarian vote. EVERY damn program should be re-validated. Every damn one.

And the question must be, is this program so important that we need to borrow money from China AND burden the next THREE generations with the the IOU to keep a program alive.

This test does what we need: shrink government to its BAREST necessary size.

Win: Romney!

Update (9:40 Eastern): Romney one again when  he made the statement he has been in business for many years, and no one gets a tax break moving jobs overseas. Obama does need an accountant! That was almost as good as the “I knew john Kennedy and you are no John Kennedy” debate zinger.

I also want to note the education system in this nation only began to fail when it began addicted to federal dollars.

Update (9:50): I am pleasantly surprised. Dr. Milquetoast (Romney) actually has a great passion when he is in policy wonk mode. The passion the man has never shown yet. Obama’s aloofness is hurting him big time (not to mention he is backing the albatross of ‘big government’). And the passion of Romney is in balancing government (read “reducing its power to make mistakes”), which has a huge edge in 2012.

Update (9:55): Oh Lord, Obama walked right into it. He basically said if you are oppose government intervention  (a huge majority), then Romney is your man! Woohoo.

And what is with Lehrer? He keeps trying to save Obama from himself.  Normally he has more self control.

BTW: there is a great internet discussion going on a Hot Air. Nearly 3,000 comments already! Ok, all 1o of our regular readers need to run over there and get into the debate!

Update: (10:15): Wow, Romney has Obama not only on his heels, he has Obama pissed. McCain NEVER rattled Obama like this. Smoking!

Final Update: Good lord, Romney wiped the floor with the President. The left can spin all they want, but that was a disastrous first debate if the Tea Party, Moderate, Libertarian CENTER is your target. Look for a serious (and irreversible) shift in the polls this week.  The silent insurgent voter is going to be all of a sudden interested and engaged.

Final, Final Update: I did like the debate format – a lot!

Final, Final, Final (I mean it, I am going to bed) Update: CNN snap poll of registered voters who watched 67% Romney – 25% Obama winner. Wipe out Romney.  CNN delayed their focus group to an hour after Fox to hide Obama debacle. Fox focus group shows huge shift to Romney.

What was a tied race now becomes a blow. The Incompetent-In-Chief implodes in next debate as pressure from a real challenger blows his cool. This election is over. Fox News focus group proves the undecideds all moved to Romney – Obama not going to get them back.

October Surprise: Libya. 6 days of incompetent cover up (blame the vide0) after weeks of warning and attacks means Obama cannot defend against next 9-11. Good Lord, they failed in LIBYA to see the warning signs!!!!

The political blogs are all atwitter about how the polls are slanting their samples and turnout models. Some claim nefarious intentions, others see a rising tide of Democrat voters that would eclipse 2008. Many assume doom for Romney. I doubt any of these situations are true. Something else is in play, and I touched on it in my previous post – see here. Since that last post much of the commentary has bolstered my observations and theory.

Before we dive into the data, let me reiterate the premise of my theory: The Libertarian/Tea Party insurgent voting bloc of 2010, that swept the GOP into office in mind boggling historic numbers, is still out there in force. But this bloc is resistant to being sampled in the polls, and this causes the polls to be skewed towards Obama.

Confidence in any statistical analysis (of which polling is just one instance) is driven by this simple fact – the sample must be highly representative of the system or population under study. If you miss a major element of the ‘thing’ being sampled, the statistical results will be off. The more you miss, the more the sample is off. If you are randomly missing individuals, no big deal. But if you miss a segment that is unified in its characteristic (e.g., is anti-Obama), then your result will be off.

After the GOP was swept into office at all levels of government in 2010, the voters who sent them there expected great things. We expected the nation to turn away from its current disastrous course and move to less government (and we mean MUCH less here), towards fiscal responsibility (or sanity),back to fairness, etc. What we got was the usual DC two-step (huge budget increases and lame promises to behave in the future).

The 2010 electorate never forgave the politicians for failing to exploit the opportunity given them. Thus both parties remain pariahs of the people, and DC is still the enemy of Main Street: where a vast majority of the voters live.

This disappointment has turned into hot, but patient, determination. There will be another round of incumbent culling in 2012 (as we have seen in primaries within the GOP, and we see with new comers easily taking on the old guard in two party contests). Scott Walker is still in the Governor’s office because the 2010 insurgent voter is still out there and active.

But these voters have no interest in playing the game anymore. They are not mindless or desperate groupies running to the GOP for salvation. They are quietly determined to keep sending messages to DC and the entire political industrial complex (note the still falling revenues, ratings, viewers and readers of the old media) – a strong message. And they are not answering the pollsters. They are a strong anti-Obama vote (note: not a pro-Romney vote), and they are resisting the pollsters efforts to sample them. They are not going to play any more. They will live their lives and then show up when it counts. Politics is tuned out right now.

We see tell tales of this in the data. For example, let’s begin here where one person’s “over sampling” actually supports  my theory taht major groups are resisting to be sampled, thus making it look like the other groups are over sampled:

But the oversampling of Democrats is only a small part of a larger problem. In addition, pollsters are undersampling groups that are sympathetic to Republicans, like evangelicals and people who make over $100,000 a year, and oversampling groups that are sympathetic to Democrats, like mainline Protestants and people who make less than $50,000 a year.

If someone cares to do the analysis, they will find these under sampled groups probably represent the home of much of the Libertarian/Tea Party movement. The results of this missed sampling are mind boggling:

Here’s what Marist is predicting the 2012 electorate will look like in various swing states, relative to 2008:

Republicans                                       Democrats

Iowa  -6.1%                                        Iowa  +5.9%
Colorado  +3.2%                              Colorado  +13.3%
Virginia  -21.2%                           Virginia  -20.5%
Florida  +11.7%                                Florida  +10.8%
Ohio  -9.7%

I have highlighted my home state to illustrate how dumb this sample is. Virginia is deep purple, but started to turn on Obama within the first year, leading to the election of Governor Bob McDonnell (R) by a stunning +20% margin. In 2010 Virginians swept out a lot of Democrats in the House. So is it really going to be pro-Obama this year? The comparison between 2008 and 2012 indicates a serious sampling problem. One that should be noted by the pollsters and reducing the confidence (in other words, increasing the MoE).

The polls are statistics based on samples. Pollsters can only go on what the sample indicates. If a major segment of the population is not willing to be sampled, is resisting being sampled, and they universally hold a strong view one way or the other, then the results will come out wonky.

Here is some proof of this theory, when you focus on a specific voting block, it tells a different story than when you integrate the voting blocks to represent the country. Here is the proof:

For example, the most recent NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac poll of Virginia shows Romney carrying Republicans 95-3 and independents 54-43.

How can Romney be losing when he is taking independents and holding the Republicans? He can’t unless the Democrats are being oversampled, or the Tea Party component of independents and the GOP moderates are being under sampled! The fact is we see this sampling issue across the board (Romney holding his base and independents, but losing when the groups are integrated and weighted by sampling size). This universal feature in the data indicates to me this is not a pollster issue, but an issue with a voting bloc resisting to be sampled.

Here is more evidence that the polls are not getting a square sample, probable out of no fault of their own – the party ID race:

Of all the polls you have seen, there is one poll that has gotten no attention, it is a poll that has been taken monthly, it is a poll that Doug Ross spotted and promoted on his site. It is the Rasmussen Poll of party identification.

They have party identification results online dating back to 2004. Here are the 2012 numbers through August

This poll shows a huge surge in GOP levels. A historic surge. A surge that makes the 2010 results pale in comparison. Never has the GOP seen this large of a lead over the Democrats. Is this an outlier? I doubt it. Rasmussen has an excellent record. Why is the GOP registration surging, but not their intensity in the samples? Obvious voters are preparing to vote, but the polling is meaningless to them.

How is this comparing with current poll samples? Not even close!

The bottom line is there were seven percent more Democrats in the electorate in 2008 than there were Republicans. That’s from the exit polls and that’s about as accurate as you can get….President Obama won by about seven points. Given 90 percent of Democrats vote for the Democrat and 90 percent of Republicans vote for the Republican, every time you reduce the margin between the parties by one point, roughly it’s about one point off the margin.”

Schoen pointed out that the Pew poll was based on Democrats sampled for having an 11 percent voters registration edge over Republicans. He further added, “saying that America has gotten more Democratic than 2008, which is a questionable assumption.”

The sample in polls has become more Democrat leaning because those red hot angry Libertarian/Tea Party voters (who are strongly anti-big government and therefore anti-Democrat) are ducking the sampling. Jay Cost also sees an “over sampling”, which could in reality be an under sampling:

Specifically, many polls have, in my judgment, overestimated the Democrats’ standing right now. I base this conclusion not on a secret, black box statistical methodology or some crystal ball, but rather on a read of American electoral history going back to 1972. If I am right, then some of the polls are giving a false sense of the true state of the race, and will likely correct themselves at some point or another.

One important “tell” in my opinion, is this president’s continued weak position with independent voters, who remain the true swing vote.

Who is right? Is this biased and deliberate over sampling to shore up the lamest of ducks? Or is the data telling us the truth. Romney has the edge with the GOP voters and independents, but the under sampling of a stealthy, large voting bloc makes it appear as if Obama has the edge? We will know soon enough. We will definitely know by November. If it is a blow out (as I suspect it will be) then DC will again be put on notice – especially the GOP. 2012 will never be a pro-GOP vote because the government is broke all over. Main Street wants government to shrink back down to its minimum level, get out of our lives and stop taking our hard earned money. This means neither a GOP or Democrat activist government. We want both parties out of our lives.

The data to date indicates this is what is happening. Now we wait and see.If you want to see what the polls look like if the sample is corrected go here. If I am right, these are the numbers we will see in November.

More discussions on this topic over at Hot Air

Update: The above Hot Air article linked to this Breitbart article, that tells me something is truly wrong in the sample, not the polls:

Florida:

In 2004 the vote was R+4.

In 2008 the vote was D+3

CBS/NYTs is reporting that in 2012 we will see D+9.

Is Florida now 3 times more Democrat than in 2008? Doubtful. It looks to me like the FL 2010 exit polls showed a 36-36-29 DRI – which means it was a tie. I fail to see the case for a D+9 in 2012 except if the 2010 insurgent voters are ducking the sample.

Update: Doug Ross has a good round up on this topic as well.

Tags: 2012 Election, Biased Polls, Obama, Romney, Skewed Polls

The Political Industrial Complex (made up of Politicians, their Handlers, Lobbyists, the News Media, etc) have  not realized that the 2012 election is going to be Part 2 of the 2010 shellacking of the government-knows-best, government-only-solutions party (i.e., Dem0crats). The fact is you cannot screw up indefinitely, throwing away people’s money and destroying their hard earned wealth, without repercussions. Voters will fire failures.

And this view of the 2012 election cycle has just been confirmed by a new Gallup poll:

A majority of Americans (54%) continue to believe the government is trying to do too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses, although that is down from the record high of 61% earlier this summer. About four in 10 Americans (39%) say the government should do more to solve the nation’s problems.

That is a 54-39% “cooked in” deficit for the Democrats right now. At the national level that spells another Carter/Mondale route. At the State level, that could have (if not for lose-lips Akin) lead to a GOP Senate. And here is the  kicker, Independents are solidly against the party of big government:

More than six in 10 independents agree that the government is doing too much.

Here this split is 2 to 1 against (62-29%). There is no way Dem GOTV can fight that kind of defection at the center. None.

Worse yet for the Dems, this is a poll of adults, not likely voters – which means the voting will be worse..

I still maintain that the 2010 insurgent voter is so fed up with government (and the two parties) they are rejecting the pollsters, and therefore represent a very large voter poll not  being sampled. If I am right, then today’s tight polls are a fiction, and Obama is the lamest of lame ducks.

Where there is smoke (or in this case anonymous administration sources speaking to the Clueless News Network (CNN)) there is usually fire.

As the Libyans and others note: the current violent unrest sparked on the anniversary of 9-11, which led to the death of 4 Americans (and President Obama to run to Las Vegas), was really a coordinated attack – not some spontaneous eruption of hatred. I have been listening to the Manchurian Press over at CNN this morning, and apparently they have not connected the clear and obvious dots. They are still spouting administration CYA BS that the attacks and deaths were not planned but an accident of events getting out of control.

The latest, hopeless spin concerns the fact that the intelligence alarm bells going off about how an innocuous anti-Mohammed movie was becoming an internet firestorm were not tied to a specific threat (same thing we heard from the Bush and Clinton administrations regarding 9-11 of course). So what? The internet storm itself could be part of the plan.

One of the things this attack required was cover and distraction. What we see is a classic example of internet-driven astroturfing (something the Dems do as a political profession, so they should have seen the dots). That building internet fire is just one of many indications of a preplanned attack this administration completely missed.

Here are the other indications of a planned attack:

1. The ‘movie’ issue drove protestors to embassies, amongst whom hid 100’s of Jihadists. It is no accident the protests were where they were – outside embassies. This multi-prong incident caught the Obama administration off-balance and unable to adapt and react to events. So how did these protest end up so well placed?
2. The collection of arms for those 100’s ’embedded’ Jidahists is no accident of the moment. You have to move arms of this number well in advance of the intended event.
3. The knowledge that the US Ambassador to Libya was not at the embassy – but at a remote consulate – was also no coincidence of the moment.
4. The fact the man who pushed hardest to support Libyan Rebels (the now deceased US Ambassador to Libya) was the prime target and victim is no accident either.
5. Knowledge and positioning of mortars at the safe house for that specific consulate on that day – manned by expert gunners – is no coincidence of the moment.

These are not random events. There are of course likely even more telltales that these attacks, hidden by an astroturfed internet event and protest, so they can happen as planned on the 11th anniversary of 9-11.

So why does the Obama administration need to feed BS to the Clueless News Network to pretend this was not a coordinated attack running under the cover of a supposed spontaneous protest?

Now that, my friends, is a newsworthy question to investigate.

Tags: Ambassador, Libyan Attack, President Obama

Barack Obama just doesn’t care about another term. His handlers and his party are pushing him to run, but Obama knows down deep he has lost interest. The Manchurian Candidate is clearly bored and tired. Why else run to Las Vegas for a fund raiser after our Embassies have been attacked and Americans killed?

Could the Optics be any worse? The body of Ambassador Stevens being dragged through the streets, then candidate Obama in Las Vegas glad handing his groupie followers.

Continue Reading »

Tags: 2012 Election, Ambassador Stevens, Economy, Libya, Obama, Work Force

Sorry again for the complete lack of posting. Life has become incredibly hectic, and not always in a good way. At least we squeaked some vacation time in at the end of August, or else I would have gone mad with the conflicting priorities of aging parents, an endless stream of work/business issues (in no small part thanks to government intrusion and incompetence), while raising the young ones and letting go of the older ones. Not sure if I am still sane…

Anyway, just a short post on the GOP and Dem conventions: neither really inspired, each had less good than bad and ugly (yes, Clint Eastwood will be addressed here). I missed Romney’s and Obama’s speeches, and pretty much ignored the liberal meltdown in Charlotte.

That’s because I sit firmly in the vast majority of insurgent Tea Party/Libertarian voters who will be bringing a second wave of whoop-ass to the voting booth come Nov 6th.

Let me begin with Clint Eastwood’s ingenious play at the GOP convention. It was ingenious because it represents a symphony of messages, metaphors and devices that hit the individual in multiple subtle ways. I must note I missed his ‘speech’ as well the night he gave it, and was already expecting – from the news – to see a rambling, out of touch, and sad event when I watched it early in the week after the convention.

And boy do most people have it wrong. Especially the talking heads and inside the beltway types (see Geraldo Rivera for an example of someone totally missing it). This post over at Hot Air by “Karl” explains much of what happened that night.

After all, who is Clint Eastwood? He is one of the top actors, directors and producers of motion pictures in the world. Most of the world — and almost certainly everyone tuning in to the RNC Thursday night — knows this. Yet most of the analyses of his RNC appearance are based on the notion that we were not witnessing acting.

Karl walks through the set up, the hook and the morals of this amazing short play. But having time to listen to the response and see how it played out with the Dems is amazing. From the union thug who goes ballistic on his own empty chair to the fact Obama cannot now afford to be seen in any venue containing empty chairs, the symbology now stuck to the President appears to be as damning as it is permanent. The empty suite metaphor is hard to encounter on a day to day basis – not the empty chair!

Eastwood used the hook of a rambling old man to bring down everyone’s guard. If he was Dirty Harry, then most people would have some level of defense up – making a message hard to get through. The rambling man, hard to hear, removed this wall and forced people to try and hear. But as Karl said, once the hook was implanted, the message was tough. Going from tears of joy at the swearing in January 2009 to the tears of sadness as we see the results of 4 wasted years and so many people out of work and without their hard earned nest eggs. Eastwood applied the velvet glove with surgical precision, until finally he dropped the act with his “Make My Day” summary…

Compare that to the floor fight by the Dems over the existence and support of “God”. As I noted before, everyone outside the far left believes in a Creator who is above humankind, and from whom we receive the gift of life and all its potential. To the liberals, they are the Creator and through government they provide the required carrots and sticks to manage the unruly masses. One side is confident, the other compensating for deep rooted insecurities.

The conventions simply cemented where this election was headed. The left arrogant and over confident, the right being tested once again to see if this time they can do what the people want (which is to tear down government to its minimal core and free people to pursue Life, Liberty and Happiness). The question is will the GOP be like Todd Akin or Paul Ryan….

So far they are marching basically in the right direction. But they will not have a mandate if they win. They will simply be on parole.

Tags: Clint Eastwood, Democrat Convention, God, GOP Convention

I had an epiphany during Paul Ryans wonderful and powerful speech.

We know the debate this year is about where the heart of America lies. As I said yesterday, I thought WI Governor Walker nailed the Democrats by pointing out the Dems measure success by how many Americans rely on government to eek out an existence, and Reps measure success by how many Americans achieve the American dream. That is a major element of our choice this year.

So when Ryan underscored another big difference that ties into the entire “You didn’t build that, government deserves the credit”, I saw a great summation for this election.

When the GOP reads these lines in the Declaration of Independence, they see the American people plowing their individual paths into the future:

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

When Obama and the Dems read this line, they see themselves as “Their Creator”, exercising their power as “Creator” through government policy and regulation, powered by taxation and confiscation of personal wealth. Thus the whine “you didn’t build that, government did”….

Ryan noted that Obama and the Dems want everything to be free – but the individual!

So now we understand the core differences in the parties this cycle. The GOP humbly recognizes the gifts our creator provided the individual to move humanity into a promising future – following the very same insights of our national founding fathers.

And Obama sees himself as The Creator of all goodness and success….

Look for a landslide as the self-anointed “O” discovers that those faux Roman columns were only cheap props….  Americans don’t want or need this egotistical nonsense.

Update: Make sure to check out the Ryan Speech Open Thread at Hot Air

Tags: 2012 Election, Declaration of Indepdence, GOP Convention, Paul Ryan Speech, President Obama