Dec 07 2008

Reformation In The Church Of Al Gore/IPCC?

Published by at 11:29 am under All General Discussions,Global Warming

While it may take a while, the rising amount of undeniable data showing that the theories behind man-made, CO2-driven, global warming are wrong might even penetrate the zealots at the Church of Al Gore/IPCC. In fact, many real scientists who have stood by the Church of Global Warming have been coming out with studies which have been chipping away at the tenets laid down by the ‘Green Saint’ Al Gore.  Specifically those tenets which dictate man-made CO2 emissions are driving the Earth’s warming trend.

For example, it was scientists associated with the UN IPCC that determined the Earth will be cooling for the next three decades:

Addressing the Washington Policymakers in Seattle, WA, Dr. Don Easterbrook said that shifting of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) from its warm mode to its cool mode virtually assures global cooling for the next 25-30 years and means that the global warming of the past 30 years is over. The announcement by NASA that the (PDO) had shifted from its warm mode to its cool mode (Fig. 1) is right on schedule as predicted by past climate and PDO changes (Easterbrook, 2001, 2006, 2007) and is not an oddity superimposed upon and masking the predicted severe warming by the IPCC. This has significant implications for the future and indicates that the IPCC climate models were wrong in their prediction of global temperatures soaring 1°F per decade for the rest of the century.

It was just this summer that NASA (not some green scientist working for NASA) presented to Congress the conclusive evidence that it was not CO2 driving the global temperatures, but the Pacific Ocean currents and the above mentioned PDO:

it can be shown with a simple climate model that small cloud fluctuations assumed to occur with two modes of natural climate variability — the El Nino/La Nina phenomenon (Southern Oscillation), and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation — can explain 70% of the warming trend since 1900, as well as the nature of that trend: warming until the 1940s, no warming until the 1970s, and resumed warming since then.

OK, so we have one group linked to the IPCC determining that the PDO (which showed up right on schedule and concurrently had the predicted impact on global temperatures) will cause 3 decades of cooling which is then confirmed by another group at NASA. 

Now another IPCC group has come out and proven that the Ocean water temperatures can be shown to have caused the global warming we have seen recently – not CO2 (man-made or otherwise). What this group did was run those models at the Church of Al Gore/IPCC which keep screaming “the world is going to end unless you pay high taxes on energy” on their outputs but with a different set of assumptions. They DELETED the CO2 factor and just ran them with Ocean Temperature measurements. Guess what happened?

The models reproduced the historic trends that we have seen for the last few decades, something the models at the Church of Al Gore/IPCC have had trouble doing (probably because they are wrong). Here are the results in the language of scientists:

In the second sentence of their abstract, Compo and Sardeshmukh tell us “Atmospheric model simulations of the last half-century with prescribed observed ocean temperature changes, but without prescribed GHG [Green House Gas, e.g. CO2] changes, account for most of the land warming.”

The folks over at IPC, who noted this amazing turn around, were quite stunned to see the admission, to say the least:

Are they kidding? Are they really suggesting that the warming of the land areas of the Earth may not have been caused directly by the increased concentration of greenhouse gases? The answer is … yes!

As I said, the scientists took Sea Surface Temperature (SST) readings (which are measured from space and by buoys) that have been collected over the years and ran them through the IPCC models, which had the incredible result of being more accurate:

Their figure shows the results and to the amazement of the greenhouse advocates, the model runs forced by SSTs only did as good a job replicating the observed temperature rise as the model runs with elevated greenhouse gases or the many other forcings explored in their research. In explaining their results, the scientists write “In summary, our results emphasize the significant role of remote oceanic influences, rather than the direct local effect of anthropogenic radiative forcings, in the recent continental warming.

Translation: The recent warming that has occurred over land has not been due to CO2 levels (i.e., ‘anthropogenic radiative forcings’) but something else. That makes three independent studies, two from groups tied to the Church of Al Gore/IPCC, which have completely disproved the tenets of global warming. Which means all the cap-and-trades on Green House Gas emissions and reductions in CO2 will do nothing to change the climate of Planet Earth! 

As usual, Al Gore is still an idiot in search of a cause.

10 responses so far

10 Responses to “Reformation In The Church Of Al Gore/IPCC?”

  1. kathie says:

    I have heard that loosing a Presidential campaign is very difficult. I wonder what loosing the global issue too will do to algore. It won’t be pretty.

  2. crosspatch says:

    You have to understand that “global warming” was a hook used to get elected. Once they are in power, they no longer need the hook. The issue will die a very silent death. You will just stop hearing about it. Noboby will ever say Gore was wrong, the issue will simply disappear.

    And 1 degree per decade was simply nuts anyway. When CO2 concentrations were 10 times todays levels when dinosaurs roamed the planet, temperatures were only 5 degrees higher than now.

  3. crosspatch says:

    What we really need to do is hold these people accountable for billions in needless spending for a problem that never existed. Things such as CO2 mitigation systems are a complete and total waste of money and add billions to the costs of energy production which filters down to added cost in everything we buy.

    CO2 is such a tiny constituent of greenhouse gas on this planet (water vapor overwhelmingly swamps any impact from CO2) that a doubling of CO2 would make no measurable difference in temperature.

    There was one very certainly obvious test that showed that greenhouse warming wasn’t happening. If there was enough CO2 concentration to cause greenhouse warming, then the middle troposphere would have been warming. It would collect infrared energy from the sun during the day and infrared escaping from the earth at night and cause a warming of the middle troposphere. Scientists searched and searched for that signature, but it never happened. The response of the atmosphere was just never consistent with greenhouse warming.

    Add to that the discovery that most of the ground recording stations used to measure lower troposphere temperature were incorrectly sited, prone to urban heat islands, impacted by other nearby land use changes, and the raw data was being subjected to “adjustments” performed by a warming fanatic, and suddenly the entire case fell apart. The only thing left was “faith” and it became a question of if one “believed in” warming or not.

  4. gwood says:

    The battle for sanity on the CO2/global warming question is not won yet. The Supreme Court has said that the EPA could regulate it, as if it were a toxin. There’s an awful lot of money vested in perpetuating the hoax.

    The dark side will continue to take advantage of the fact that, unlike this blog and the above posters, most people are extremely ill-informed, and the media will continue to carry their water.

    I like to put them off balance by asking four questions:

    1-How do you completely rule out solar activity as a cause of warming?

    2-The earth heated approximately one degree centigrade during the 20th century. How do you explain the fact that three-fourths of that rise occurred prior to 1940?

    3-The Earth has been warmer than it is now many times before. How do you explain the naming of Greenland?

    4-We’ve been cooling since 1998, while CO2’s been rising, doesn’t that invalidate the computer models that single out CO2 as the only cause of warming?

  5. Neo says:

    Seeing as there has never been a clearly identified example of the “CO2 signature” (i.e. abnormal warming at about 18 km) by any scientist after decades of atmospheric measurements, it’s not hard to see why the CO2 calculations are a problem for most researchers.

  6. crosspatch says:

    It is rather well documented that CO2 change lags temperature change. It is a RESULT of temperature change, not a cause of it.

    First of all: soils produce 10 times the amount of all human produced CO2 simply through organic decomposition of plant matter. Plants take in CO2 to build biomass but when they die, it decomposes and releases that CO2 back into the atmosphere. Frozen materials don’t decompose so any warming that allows biological activity to continue for a day or an hour or a minute longer (soil above freezing) causes increases in CO2. Your compost pile is a source of atmospheric CO2.

    Secondly: When water warms, it dumps dissolved gasses so a warming of an area of ocean will cause it to dump CO2 to the atmosphere. Remember that the majority of the world’s volcanoes dump their CO2 into the ocean, not into the air directly and the Pacific rim has most of the world’s volcanoes. So as ocean water warms, more of this gas gets put into the air (or less taken out of the air, just depends on your perspective). We saw some powerful el Nino events that warmed large parts of the Pacific Ocean in the late 1990’s and early 2000’s. That would have changed how CO2 is handled by that water.

  7. OLDPUPPYMAX says:

    Like so many leftists who want to feel important, Al Gore simply doesn’t KNOW anything! So the key is to grab on to any cause which the MSM and the rest of the left can make into a successful hoax.

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  9. Ronnie says:

    Don’t under estimate these people. Their careers & Trillions of dollars are on the line. If you visit many other wesites ex. Newscientist they use data that shows that AGW is alive & well. The media is in the tank with this issue as well & unlikely to admit the planet is cooling. It may well take an ice age to move them. I’m finding out that honesty doesn’t pay when it comes to climate science. These groups, organizations, world governments & media will not take this lying down. They will claim credit when they admit it finally. Please keep the real pursuit of science alive. It is going to take a big hit from the blow-back of AGW. Clean energy is great, but not at 3X the price. Enjoying a cool winter in the Ozarks! Cheers. Ronnie

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