May 08 2008

2008 – The Year Of The Centrists

As a conservative independent I of course like to view the world through my only lens of preferences, but I think it is safe to say I have my biases fairly well checked when I claim this year Americans are heading away from the hyper-partisan fringes, weary of nearly 3 decades of hyper-partisan rancor and dysfunctional zer-sum games. We see it playing out in the Democrat and Republican sides.

On the left we see the stronger general election candidate, Hillary Clinton, losing to the more liberal Obama. Clinton is much stronger against McCain, but she keeps losing ground to Obama the more her general election electability shows. The Democrat Party is being taken over by the far left which is itching to come out of the closet. That is why when Wright and Ayers come up it doesn’t hurt Obama in the primaries, just kills him for the general

It is also playing out on the right as the ‘true conservative” far right bemoans McCain’s positions and their 20-25% keep voting against him in GOP primaries. The problem is the GOP is tired of the self destructiveness of the far right who call people who disagree with the Quislings and Traitors (just ask anyone who support Comprehensive Immigration Reform why there will be no alliances with the hyper-right any more).

The most enjoyable example of this was on Sean Hannity’s radio show when he hosted “The Architect” Karl Rove. Hannity made the mistake of trying to paint McCain’s problems with the ‘true conservatives’ as a liability. His two examples were “The Gang of 14” and Comprehensive Immigration Reform (which I am glad to see McCain is bring back as part of his policy plans when elected), which McCain notes openly with well deserved pride. Hannity was not prepared to be ripped a new one by Rove who just destroyed Hannity’s far right biases against McCain.

On the Gang of 14 Rove noted that the compromise gave Democrats cover to allow numerous conservative federal judges to be seated as well as Roberts and Alito on the US SC. Rove noted that he had his doubts initially, but came to recognize the Gang of 14 was critical to the administration’s efforts to mold the judiciary in line with conservative, constructionist principles.

On immigration reform Rove really nailed Hannity and the “Amnesty Hypochondriacs”. Of course the word “Amnesty” was selected by the opponents of immigration reform because it was the root of their resistance – they did not want the 1 in 5 workers (Rove’s number) here illegally to get off with a fine, paying back taxes and proving they are free of violent crimes. This obsession with desiring much stronger actions than the law or America were prepared to invoke is why I call the “Amnesty Hypochondriacs”.

Besides pointing out to Hannity that 1 in 5 workers here are illegal and we cannot simply have them leave without killing our economy, he noted that Bush ended the 30 year long practice of catch-and-release, where illegals found on the border were given a date to be in court and then released, wherein they never showed up. Rove noted the last catch-and-release was in 2006, after Bush led the way in providing all sorts of resources for personnel and facilities required to end the practice.

Another point Rove hammered home is most people do not know that 1.3 million illegal aliens attempting to cross our borders were sent back home last year – a very, very impressive number which shows our borders ARE being strengthened. Nothing will be foolproof, but that is amazing progress the Amnesty Hypochondriacs dismiss out of fear that the day will come when we do deal with the long term illegals with less than deportation or coerced deportation. Oh well, those far right dreams will never happen.

Which brings me back to why McCain is doing so well right now. Every time Hannity or Ingraham or Malkin go ballistic because McCain is not conservative enough the provide McCain distance from the one association that would give him trouble in the general election. Obama has problems because of his new found ties to the radical left. McCain is gaining credibility with the continued flames from the far right (who are not radical like the left, just way out of the mainstream like the left).

I have seen attempts by the far left to tie McCain to folks on the far right – and it fails because everyone knows the far right is ready to sit out this election, especially if McCain keeps his pledge to implement comprehensive immigration reform. So while Obama can be attacked by his far left political associations (which avoids the backlash of attacking Obama directly), McCain cannot be tied to a group that cannot stop spouting off their dislike of the man.

And this is why I am fairly certain this year America is staying away from the hyper-partisans. All indications are McCain is perfectly set up to take advantage of this, and the far right is doing their part to help him. And all indications are Hillary is losing because of this, and Obama and his far left buddies are doing their part in hurting him more in the general election. Sweet.

BTW – just a reminder McCain was one of my last choices from the beginning and I posted on his weak support for the sanctity of life through his support of Embryonic Stem Cell Research, an issue I care very deeply about. So am by no means a McCainiac, but like most independence more pragmatic than driven to the political extremes on either side.

67 responses so far

67 Responses to “2008 – The Year Of The Centrists”

  1. Whippet1 says:

    Terrye,

    “After all, the last time the conservatives got a real conservative in the White House was Bush and then they worked side by side with the Democrats to help wreck the man. Into his second term they announced that he was not a REAL conservative and that was that.”

    Spoken like a true moderate or should I say ex-dem. Of course Bush would seem conservative to someone who leans liberal…duh!

    Don’t get me wrong…I love President Bush and have made that clear, however it isn’t because of his “conservativism.” While he certainly has some conservative principles he tends to drift toward moderate even though he is futher right than his father and much further right than McCain.

  2. Whippet1 says:

    Bikerken,
    I will say up front that I don’t agree with you entirely on President Bush. I happen to love the man for numerous reasons in spite of his moderate leanings not because of them.

    But you hit the nail on the head with this one:

    “By the way, a centrist is a person who, believing they are better than both sides, is not willing to pick a team, stands in the middle and gets it from both sides, then crows about their loyalty to themselves.”

    Compromise is their favorite word. They’ve yet to find a principle they wouldn’t sell out to remain “in the middle.”

  3. Whippet1 says:

    Ivehadit,
    I agree with you that conservatives should suck it up and vote for McCain, however, it is their right to do otherwise.

    According to you if the left votes for Obama then they’re America-haters and if the conservatives don’t vote they’re America-haters which of course puts you comfortably in the middle with your self-righteousness and the ability to blame everyone else if the results are disasterous. We’ve all got some blame in this one and it’s time everyone figure it out.

  4. 75 says:

    Conservatives will be voting for McCain. Why all you ‘centrists’ are so worried about conservatives is beyond me. They clearly understand McCain is better than Obama or Hillary. Your constant harping on it is an insult to their intelligence. Like Rush said thursday when a caller asked why Operation Chaos wasn’t behind McCain more he said, “because it isn’t time yet. We’re still in phase 1, dragging out the Democratic primary.” I think our “centrist” fence sitters should relax. You won’t need to worry until the media has settled on Obama and breaks out the torches to pursue the their only personal Frankenstein creation…John McCain. And that’ll be coming soon enough.

  5. The Macker says:

    B Ken,
    I agree with your analysis of the primaries. But,

    I still think most conservatives can reach an agreement on immigration that is better than the Dems want.

    I think conservatives agree on leaving a free and secure Iraq.

    I think conservatives oppose Marxist solutions to domestic problems and disguised statism.

    So, I think conservatives will mostly cooperate and avoid national suicide.

  6. Whippet1 says:

    Macker,
    I believe you’re right!

  7. 75 says:

    We better hope he’s right. And we better pray AJ is right because the last time the party tried the centrist route we got Bill Clinton and for two terms. In fact, we lose every time we go the moderate route. A more stubborn student would be hard to find.