Jan 25 2012

Denial Runs Deep In The Romney Camps

Published by at 7:52 pm under 2012 Elections,All General Discussions

It is really disturbing when your side loses its objectivity and shows signs of deep political denial. It makes them look just like liberals.

For example, the Romney camps are singing “Amen!” at a bunch of new polls out. Just check this out at Hot Air:

This makes three new polls showing him [Romney] either tied with Newt or back in the lead after Gingrich’s big post-South Carolina surge.

I am simply stunned at these claims as I showed in a comment on this post.  The part I emphasized is mathematically wrong. Dead wrong.

Here is my comment on how ridiculous all this high-fiving really is:

Good lord folks, It is not the snapshot number but the trend [that matters]. Go to RCP and edutate [deliberate misspelling] yourself:

CNN/Time 1/13-17/12 = Romney +24
CNN/Time 1/22-24/12 = Romney +2

Losing 20% points in less than 2 weeks is not a good sign. And +2 is well within the Margin of Error (MoE).

Check out PPP:

PPP 1/14-16/12 = Romney +15
PPP 1/22-23/12 = Gingrich +5

Hmm, another 20% drop and outside the MoE. Are we all seeing the TREND now?

Rasmussen 1/11/12 = Romney +22
Rasmussen 1/22/12 = Gingrich +9

Wow – 30% point drop….

Are you political experts really going to stand by the idea Romney is coming back? Do you mind if we all have a good laugh at your expense????

Let me add one more nail to this coffin:

Quinnipiac 1/4-8/12 = Romney +12
Quinnipiac 1/19-23/12 = Romney +2

All data points to Romney losing ground, not rebounding.

Tomorrow I will post on why Romney – even as a legitimate and successful business owner – can still not be admired by Main Street voters and small business owners. It will expose another method for denial – generalities. Sadly for all these people, ignoring the inconvenient truths will not garner a win, it simply means you miss the coming wave and the ability to take it on.

10 responses so far

10 Responses to “Denial Runs Deep In The Romney Camps”

  1. Redteam says:

    I agree.

    Just watched Dick Morris on O’Reilly. His comment: “if Romney wins in Florida, he probably wins the nomination. If newt wins in Florida, Romney can still win the nomination. ”

    Isn’t he remarkable? I nominate him for “Mr. Republican Establishment Elite”

  2. crazywater says:

    The point is after Newt’s big win in SC polls showed him vaulting ahead and now as the week goes on more polls are now showing Romney regaining his lead. All data could point to Romney moving ahead again. And I hate when people site RCP. All they do is average recent polls but that an be misleading since the older polls data can be very outdated. What will you say of Romney wins?

  3. gkm1959 says:

    Speaking of denial, aren’t you the same clown that was telling us to vote for that woefully underqualified eggplant only a few brief months ago?

    9 – 9 – 9.

    I thought for sure you were going to pen a glowing review of he Cain – Colbert rally.

  4. jan says:

    The primary continues to be a see-saw. Romney appears to be gaining some of the ground he recently lost. But, tomorrow is another debate, which is simply another chance for people to reconsider, yet again, who they think is the best man for this important job.

    In the meantime you have this going on, as posted on the Hugh Hewitt show blog:

    The Democrats are targeting Mitt Romney as if he were already the Republican nominee running against President Barack Obama, with campaign ads, Internet videos, daily news conferences and dozens of news releases attacking the former Massachusetts governor.

    Traditional Democratic partners are jumping in, too. Both the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees’ and Service Employees International Union’s political-action committees are running their own TV commercials in Florida this week — attacking Romney.

    Gingrich and the other two Republican candidates, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and Texas U.S.Rep. Ron Paul, are being all but ignored by the DNC and its allies.

    Newt is getting lots of assistance from the media, the unions and other republicans. It should be a slam dunk for him, with so many friends from the non-conservative side of the aisle, helping out in their spare time.

  5. Redteam says:

    Do these people live in Oz? I just read this:
    “After nearly a week on the defensive, CNN’s John King reports tonight that Newt Gingrich’s claim about offering witnesses to ABC News in his defense — to rebut the network’s interview with his second wife, Marianne Gingrich — was not true.

    “Tonight, after persistent questioning by our staff, the Gingrich campaign concedes now Speaker Gingrich was wrong — both in his debate answer, and in our interview yesterday,” King said on tonight’s edition of John King USA. “Gingrich spokesman R.C. Hammond says the only people the Gingrich campaign offered to ABC were his two daughters from his first marriage.”

    An important victory for John King in his ongoing effort to justify last Thursday’s confrontation.”

    Let me get this straight. They say it is a victory for John King to prove that Newt didn’t offer witnesses to ABC News in his defense, then they say that his two daughters were offered as witnesses. wha????? are his two daughters ‘people’? could they actually be ‘witnesses’? So say that again. did he or did he not offer two daughters as witnesses? who was right? OOOZZZZZZ!!!!!!!

    They just make up this crap as they go along…….

  6. AJStrata says:


    The point is you don’t know how to read polling data. No poll shows Romney ‘gaining’ – all 4 show him losing ground. And they don’t stop their trend the day the poll is taken. Those polls showing 20+ point losses in two weeks could still be moving Newt’s direction.

    You have nothing to back up your statement.

  7. WWS says:

    We are finding out some interesting things – I’m glad to see that the Tea Party is finally in favor of a path to citizenship for many of the illegal immigrants that have been here for years. (Newt’s stated position) This means that no matter who wins the coming election, GOP or dem, this is going to be our policy going forward. The political argument on that point, at least, is over.

  8. AJStrata says:

    WWS, Where in the world did I say the Tea Party was the amnesty party? Confused or in denial?

  9. WWS says:

    Redteam says that Newt is now the official Tea Party candidate, as have others. I don’t know what you think about that, AJ, but it is what Newt’s support is resting on now.

    I just stated Newt’s position, which none of his supporters today appear to have any problem with.

    The logic is simple:

    1) Newt supports at least a partial amnesty
    2) the Tea Party supports Newt unreservedly
    3) so, the Tea Party now supports partial amnesty.

    So who’s in denial about this rather obvious state of affairs?

  10. […] polls from the same pollsters over time – apples to apples). Prior claims of a shift, as I noted previously, were not correct – just […]