PA too close to call – McCain is very much alive. What worries me is FL and IN. Would like to see those go McCain. Update: Some networks called PA based on exit polls alone – but Fox News notes there are ZERO election results to make any assessment. It is now up to our […]

I am just not sure about the news that PA is in play, but if it is then Obama surely cannot win, even if he takes VA. But here are some stories confirming both GOP and Dem internal polls showing PA is in play. Story one: Pennsylvania The one blue state McCain hopes to grab […]

Something may be happening in Pennsylvania which could determine the outcome of our pending election: Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell has sent two separate memos to the Obama campaign in the past five days requesting that the Democratic Presidential candidate—as well as Hillary and Bill Clinton—return to campaign in Pennsylvania, Rendell told CNN’s Gloria Borger. … […]

Voter models are the essence of political polls. You take a sample of a few hundred or a few thousand people and predict how that sample can reflect 10s-100s of millions of people. If you are off by even a small fraction in your assumptions the bottom line could be off by 5, 10 or […]

Which campaign has momentum? Well, we have some pictures from this week to answer the question. Here is an Obama event in deep blue Wisconsin where Obama attracted only 2/3rds the crowd McCain-Palin did a few days earlier. Estimates are 6,000 People.   And here is a McCain-Palin event in deep blue Pennsylvania: The evidence […]

Ever since the GOP convention and the selection of Governor Sarah Palin for the VP slot there have been numerous polls showing a pro McCain-Palin wave of various levels and duration across the nation. I have posted on these over the past few days (see below for links). What is clear is deep blue states […]