Let me pose a few questions to those desperately trying not to see the momentum shift to Romney here in the final days of the 2012 election cycle. Is Florida turning redder or bluer? Is Virginia or North Carolina turning deep blue and moving out of Romney’s reach? Is Missouri once again within Obama’s reach […]

A slew of polls are out from WSJ/NBC/Marist showing Obama leads in Ohio and elsewhere. Only problem is the turn out models appear to be devoid of all reality. First, you will want to read this: While Obama is ahead in early raw voting numbers in Florida and North Carolina, voting expert Michael McDonald, a […]

Katrina was a Cat 3 hurricane when she slammed into the Gulf Coast in 2005. She was much larger, stronger and deadlier than Little ‘Ol Sandy when She made landfall Hurricane Katrina was the deadliest and most destructive Atlantic hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. It was the costliest natural disaster, as well as […]

Updates Galore! – at the end of post A very interesting study is out from a left wing think tank that may have the explanation for why the polls are all skewed to Obama compared to what people see as a Romney surge on the ground and nationally. It has to do with a migration […]

As a follow up to yesterday’s brief post (traveling again!) I was going to note a strange missing element to this cycle’s swing state debate: Missouri Where did the Show Me State go? I can remember a presidential race where MO was consider the bell-weather. See here from circa 2008: Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher […]

AllahPundit at Hot Air put it quite well yesterday: In other words, the dam that O’s built among early voters simply isn’t tall enough to hold back the red tide next Tuesday. Neither is the fire wall Obama built able to hold back the tide. Yesterday I posted on how the tide was turning and […]

Update 3: The folks over at Powerline rip Quinnipiac and their mind boggling fictional turnout model: discount the Quinnipiac results, however, because its sample consists of 35 percent Democrats and 28 percent Republicans. That’s a better split for the Dems than they enjoyed in 2008. There is little reason to believe that the Democrats will […]

The reality of the last 4 years of the Obama administration is starting to come crashing down on the left wing echo chambers in DC, NY and San Francisco. Obama’s firewall of swing states is folding like a domino set made of cheap lawn chairs. It is so bad warning signs are flaring up in […]

You know, this new poll math is pretty silly. Apparently 2+2 = +1 Obama (every time). As Ed Morrissey points out, if the turn out/sample models were aligned to some semblance of reality then it probably looks like a Romney win. If Romney wins independents by 15, and the gender gap by 2, how can […]

What better way to rally the public to an incumbent President, prior to an election, than to raise the specter of a nation under attack? George W Bush became a rallying point after 9-11 as he threaded a serious and lasting response to one of the worst attacks on this nation in living memory. John […]