Oct 30 2008

Poll Schocker – McCain and Obama Tied In Pennsylvania

Published by at 10:38 am under 2008 Elections,All General Discussions

It seems those rumors of Obama being in trouble in PA might very well be true:

Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 9

Dates conducted: Oct. 27-28. Error margin: 4 points.

Given the margin of error this is a statistical tie.

5 responses so far

5 Responses to “Poll Schocker – McCain and Obama Tied In Pennsylvania”

  1. Phineas says:

    And I bet it’s even closer. Bittergate and Murtha’s “racist” crack have to be costing The One in western PA.

  2. VA Voter says:

    Are you aware of any body of work that analyzed the MOE and determined what percentage of results break for or against the poll leader?

  3. AJStrata says:

    VA Voter,

    Not off the top of my head, though there is a theory out there (backed by some data) that ‘the challenger’ can get up to 70% of the undecideds in the final stretch.

    If you trust my memory that is your own fault!

    Cheers, AJStrata

  4. swimbikerun says:

    I hope this is true! I live in Pittsburgh and my neighborhood (as well as many of the surrounding neighborhoods) is loaded with Obama yard signs… I haven’t been out to the suburbs lately, so I’m hoping there will be some substantial McCain-Palin supporters out there.

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