Jun 16 2007

New Immigration Poll – GOP Damaged

Published by at 6:53 am under All General Discussions,Illegal Immigration

Well, it would seem the goodwill of America has been poisoned by the relentless PR campaign of the amnesty hypochondriacs. We seem to have found the magic scapegoat for all our woes: illegal immigrants. A new WSJ Poll Shows a big drop off in support of the immigration plan dealing with illegals currently here (see here and here). But at a major price to the GOP (as predicted):

Now I would like to get your reaction to several parts of a possible new immigration bill. Please tell me whether you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following parts of this bill.

All immigrants who apply to be U.S. citizens would be required to learn English

Strongly Favor: 73
Somewhat Favor: 16
Somewhat Oppose: 6
Strongly Oppose: 4
Not Sure: 1

Fav/Opp: 89/10

Imposing new fines on businesses that hire illegal immigrants

Strongly Favor: 57
Somewhat Favor: 17
Somewhat Oppose: 11
Strongly Oppose: 12
Not Sure: 3

Fav/Opp: 74/23

Increasing border security by building a fence along part of the U.S. border with Mexico and by hiring and training more border patrol agents

Strongly Favor: 44
Somewhat Favor: 21
Somewhat Oppose: 12
Strongly Oppose: 19
Not Sure: 4

Fav/Opp: 65/31

Immigrants who want to come to the U.S. to work and who are not already here could apply for a two-year work visa that they could renew up to two times

Strongly Favor: 38
Somewhat Favor: 41
Somewhat Oppose: 6
Strongly Oppose: 12
Note sure: 3

Fav/Opp: 79/18

Allowing illegal workers who arrived in the U.S. to apply for permanent U.S. residency if they return to their home country within eight years and pay additional fines

Strongly Favor: 13
Somewhat Favor: 22
Somewhat Oppose: 20
Strongly Oppose: 35
Note Sure: 10

Fav/Opp: 35/55

Allowing illegal workers who arrived in the U.S. before January first of this year to receive an automatic work visa if they pay a fine of around five thousand dollars

Strongly Favor: 10
Somewhat Favor: 20
Somewhat Oppose: 18
Strongly Oppose: 46
Not sure: 6

Fav/Opp: 30/64

Of course, the real question on dealing with illegal immigrants is a fine, back taxes and a background check for a violent criminal record. But despite the misleading question the news is not good. The GOP, striving for something harsh enough to entice illegal aliens NOT to come forward and register with the government, are hell bent on retaining the status quo and all its problems. The whole point of fines and back taxes was to require a reaonable (by all other laws on our books) payment of debt to society but enough of an enticement so that these people come forward and get jobs that include all the required taxes so that they too pay their fair share. The problem is rounding up people will cost a lot more than some small set who get benefits.

But today’s GOP is not run on logic, it is run on hate. And it is paying a price:

Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party’s nominee might be, what is your preference for the outcome of the 2008 presidential election––that a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican be elected president? (IF “DEMOCRAT” OR “REPUBLICAN,” ASK:) And do you strongly prefer a (Democrat/Republican), or is your preference not that strong?

Democrat
Strongly: 42
Not Strongly: 10
Republican
Strongly 23
Not Strongly 8

Dem/Rep: 52/31
Strong Dem/Rep: 42/23

Almost 2-1 against the GOP. I would say that is a lot of damage when usually these numbers have a gap of only 5-10%, with the Reps down usually. The damage inflicted by the GOP on itself has been stunning. The Dems have inflicted damage on themselves too. People are ready to toss the Pols out and start fresh. The question on whether people support their own representative or want someone new is 40/48 in favor of someone new. That number is usually very high in support of incumbants (its always someone elses representative causing the trouble). But somehow the Dems are not as bad off as the Reps (though Congress is).

The fact is the damage to the GOP is done. And is it surprising? Again, all I have to do is sample the conservative blogs to show what kind of person represents the base:

And those that support this monstrosity will be looking for new jobs. The Senators that supported it will be next on the unemployment line.

Bush may go down in history as a traitor, but he won’t care, he’ll be living the high life in Paraguay.

3 posted on 06/16/2007 12:17:22 AM PDT by janetgreen

So this POS legislation proves beyond a shodow of a doubt that our government truly no longer serves by the consent of the governed.
According to the Founders, we now have the right to abolish said government.

You bring the guillotines, I’ll bring the pikes!

6 posted on 06/16/2007 12:23:12 AM PDT by FierceDraka (I’m not against the government. The government is against ME.)

“El Presidente will be having steaks on the grill each evening while the rest of us will be left wondering what the hell happened???”

We can wonder over that while we are spending hours in line waiting for our govt. cheese handout.

21 posted on 06/16/2007 2:01:55 AM PDT by Bogtrotter52 (Reading DU daily so you won’t hafta)

Peruse the insanity at will. Bush and Congress were duly elected and given the power to do what they think is right. People who disagree and then propose coup d’etat’s are not Americans. In fact I would not be surprised if the mob mentality gripping the right is not being stoked by people to help them in their credibility self-destruction. The funny thing is, the same Chicken Little cries resulted from the 1980’s bill and all the immigration that occurred has NOT destroyed this country. But the hate from the partisans has. They have lost all self control. And for those of us who have not lost our minds over documenting the undocumented workers here it is becoming uglier. And the sad thing is these haters who pretend that is the American way have lost all their perspective. It is now only ‘American’ to be like them.

The bill could pass, and it might be the right thing to do to get past this insanity. It is either pass it now and show the wingnuts the sky will not fall, or leave the entire mess in place for another 10-30 years. Because this issue is looking like a 3rd rail issue like Social Security reform. Thanks to the GOP we will could be stuck with the current mess for the foreseeable future. Either way, thanks to the GOP we are likely to be stuck with a Democrat President unless someone like Rudy Guiliani or Mitt Romney can hang on and win the primary. The problem is, the GOP may have distilled itself down to the point moderates do not participate at all.

Instead of learning the lesson of Pete Wilson in CA, and how long it took to get someone like Arnold Schwarzenneger to get the (R) back into a statewide office, we are probably seeing that mistake now being repeated on a national level. It was over illegal immigrants Wilson lost CA to the GOP for a decade. Sad, but true. We never learn our lessons of history. Bush better beat al-Qaeda in Iraq in the next year or the lesson of listening to partisans (left and right) will be a very, very painful one. People forget the comprehensive bill was designed to efficiently deal with immigration, minimizing law enforcement requirements and leave those for our war on terror. It was not meant to maximize punishment.

The bill was more enticement than punishment so we could optimize the resources between illegals and terrorists. We want the hay stack to come forward to make it easier to find the needles. The more who come forward the less effort required to deal with those we need to find who should be out of here. It is now way out of balance and the whole thing is going to leave us vulnerable. Not what the GOP wanted – but it is the price they were willing to pay to go after nannies and cooks and painters.

Update: A lot of readers keeping bringing up marginal details and asking me to address them as if they are important. They do not understand my position (though I have posted on it many times). The reason I am were I am is because of the priorities I have selected. I am not for maximizing the punishment of illegal aliens. What I am for is an efficient and rapid fix to our national security – thus I come down to a different set of conclusions.

The problem is the amnesty hypochondriacs think we have unlimited law enforcement resources or unlimited time to deal with the problem of illegal immigrants and who may be among them. In a world without al-Qaeda I would possibly agree.

But in a world with al-Qaeda my priorities are to rapidly separate the good from the bad and get the bad outta here before they go radical. Those who push this issue off until years later are allowing a dangerous criminal element to remain here and possibly be recruited by al-Qaeda. That is and has been my top concern.

The concept is one of triage, where you select what you can do to save what is salvageable. In my opinion we need to optimize our defense, not our punishment of illegals. We cannot focus on illegals at the expense of national security. So I am all for a path where we entice those who have not done anything seirously wrong and look to be law abiding to come forward and step aside. Once this is done we have made our national security problem orders of magnitude easier. Where to put our resources – nannies versus terrorists – it is a pretty basic question. With limited resources that is the choice. Worrying about silly things like touchbacks (more resources required we do not have) is just not worth the effort when you add up the problem and the resources we have to deal with the problem. Nannies or terrorists.

This has always been the basis of my equations – from day one. Maximize the transition of tolerable illegals to legal and monitored, while deporting the bad apples ASAP. Bad apples are potential terrorist recruits. When that is your driving strategy the bill makes total sense. When something else is your goal these priorities fall to the wayside.

Oh, and insulting and haranguing this subculture population so that the feel isolated and disrespected (like immigrants in Europe) only provides an excuse to finally give into terrorist overtures. Offering them to come into the open gives them one set of motivations. Offering them hate and punishment gives them another set of motivations. Cold, hard, unavoidable logic. Usually the best answer in a fight for your life. Leaving potential recruits for al-Qaeda on our streets is pretty dumb. Giving them excuse to sign up is suicidal.

There is no reason to wait on culling the 12 million illegals here into two camps: the relatively safe and the known problems (which are then deported). There is no rational excuse to delay this process of culling out those who cannot stay here any longer than possible. And what about insulting them, their families and their culture (e.g., 3rd world toilets) while you let them stay around longer? …… Needless to say I am woefully unimpressed with the GOP right now.

And I think it is this kind of logic that drives Bush and many conservative leaders. Unlike the armchair experts sitting at home behind a computer screen, our leaders see the daily security threats. So why would you go against your party and do something that spells political disaster? How hard is that one to figure out. You sacrifice what you must to protect the nation – including party. And no, they will not tell us if the telling opens up our national security secrets and defenses. I may be wrong – but at least I am erring on ‘the conservative side’.

136 responses so far

136 Responses to “New Immigration Poll – GOP Damaged”

  1. Atlantin says:

    The two references in Atlantin’s last post did not show up.

    The two are: 1) lrainc.com/swtaboo/late/cb_camb.html

    and,

    2) douance.org/qi/brandbook.htm

    Please place the prefix in front oneself.

    Atlantin

  2. Atlantin says:

    The two references in Atlantin’s last post did not show up.

    The two are: 1) @ [ lrainc.com/swtaboo/late/cb_camb.html ]

    and,

    2) @ [ douance.org/qi/brandbook.htm ]

    Please place the prefix in front oneself.

    Atlantin

  3. Atlantin says:

    The two references in Atlantin’s last post did not show up.

    The two are: Here and Here

    Atlantin

  4. Atlantin says:

    The two references in Atlantin’s last post did not show up.

    The two are:

    Atlantin

  5. Atlantin says:

    Can anyone explain how to post URLs on this board?

    When I use to bracket a url the url does not show up.

    Also, when I use HREF it only worked once.

    Who do I contact on this?

    Atlantin

  6. For Enforcement says:

    go to the site, right click on the address, select copy, then go to the comment square and right click it and paste it. that is the easiest way.

  7. thecentercannothold says:

    Bob Schieffer was right today in that he said we needed a third party
    to address the immigration problem because the two mainline parties were so ineffecient. Of course his solution tended in the wrong direction, but we do need another Buchanan.

  8. Atlantin says:

    If this works, thanks “For Enforcement.”

    Will try again to post references for this post:

    Re: “psychologists are ‘making it up’ with IQ standards of ‘general intelligence.’ You seem to be using a bogus theory to underestimate an entire ethnic group.” The Macker
    Ok, you don’t believe in IQ and that it has mainly a genetic basis. If you have an open mind, educate yourself on the subject and you may be surprised with what you learn. A place to start is here,

    http://www.lrainc.com/swtaboo/late/cb_camb.html

    and, here

    http://www.douance.org/qi/brandbook.htm

    Atlantin

  9. For Enforcement says:

    thecentercannothold
    Thanks Ken, er……. Soothie

  10. Atlantin says:

    Re: “go to the site, right click on the address, select copy, then go to the comment square and right click it and paste it. that is the easiest way.” For Enforcement

    This is not working for me. When I do it the entire post does not go through or the URL part is stripped out.

    Where is the “help” part of this site?

    If any one wants the references, e-mail me and request it at the following: Atlantin AT yahoo.com ( use shift 2 for the AT in the e-mail address).

    Atlantin

  11. ivehadit says:

    Owl, you are knocking ’em out of the park! Great posts!

    But unfortunately, they fall on deaf ears…Buchananite ears. What Presidential election has Pat won? What are Tom Tancredo’s poll numbers? And who appointed/elected Michelle Malkin to speak for conservatives?

    Just some pesky little questions for the hard-hearted.

  12. MerlinOS2 says:

    For those of you running Firefox I totally recommend an add on going by the name of Xinha, it is what I am using now to do my posts.

    I got tired of long urls sprawled halfway across the page and started using tinyurl and had it as a hotlink on my toolbar to shorten long urls.

    But Xinha allows all the standard html stuff without having to worry about a typo in the post leaving it stuck in bold or italics or what ever.

     

    Just type in your post, highlight which text you want to represent your link point and then cut and paste the url into the window after you hit the icon for making a link.

     

    When all done hit the apply button at the bottom and then post the result even though it looks a little strange because of all the imbedded html codes and boom it’s there

     

     

  13. MerlinOS2 says:

    Once you have it installed just right click on the comment box and from the menu select the option to us it.

    My preference is to bring it up in a seperate window just for ease of use.

  14. MerlinOS2 says:

    Terrye

    I know it was unintended but…..

    Lindsay Graham is not Hillary Clinton without a skirt.

    Damn I just upchucked a perfectly good Heineken just contemplating that image….Not Lindsay, the Hillary part.

  15. MerlinOS2 says:

    MerlinsOS2

    I still have a boxed OS2 set in the garage. Loved it. Pity IBM didn’t keep it up.

    I still have 5 or 6 computers here running OS/2 Warp 4. The only time they had to be rebooted was after the last hurricane that ran thru here.

    By the way , if you don’t know it, the code name for Warp 4 in all the internal documentation was ….ta da MERLIN.

    Ain’t life strange.

  16. MerlinOS2 says:

    Terry said

     

    Now, it is completely unrealistic to say that unless you support every single aspect of a compromise bill in the Senate then the entire process must die right there. If that was par for the course then no bill would ever be passed for anything.

    I have never heard of people saying you have to download the entire bill and read every freaking word to even discuss the issue. Never, not for any other bill or any other issue. This whole topic has just been toxic for the right and has brought out the worst in them.

     Now look at the premise above about how this bill will get it’s second life.

     Guess what is going to happen , the amendments hard fought for and voted on will be stripped out.

     Then the package of amendments agreeed on by those who put together the cloture vote will be the ONLY amendements considered and maybe even some of them will be busted flushes if they are at the bottom of the list and time expires.

     

    So you end up with a bill concieved in secret with a list of amendments under the same guise and throw out all the other substantial admendments that have already passed muster.

    And guess what the actual amendments that will be allowed was vetted by the grand compromise drafters.

    So basically you get the bill drafters to control the bill and then control the alterations to the bill that still fit their agenda.

    All with rules of the Senate gamesmanship and screw the rest of the Senate and by extension the voters.

    Now tell me you support that.

  17. MerlinOS2 says:

    Terrye said

     We are Independents, members of the largest self described group. Right now Independents out number Republicans or Democrats and since 2006

    And guess what in this poll the independents only amounted to about 10% of those polled.

     

    Got the picture now. 

  18. For Enforcement says:

    Hey Merlin  it that’s neat

     

    it’ll take a little while to learn to use it, but it seems great.

  19. MerlinOS2 says:

    So you did not know Bush’s position in 2000 when he was attending Mex rallies and gaining votes? Give me a freakin break and quit lying about it.

    Left by owl on June 16th, 2007

    This is just a plain crock. Tell me any candidate you 100% agreed with.

    Rudy is in the lead , but he has issues some don’t really cotton to.

    If he is elected, do you suggest that people should go against the grain of their own positions and beliefs just because it has the Rudy stamp of approval.

    Many if not all knew GWB had the grand compromise issue on his plate, but balanced it out with all the other things that he supported.

    For you to try to frame it that it somehow does not allow opposition to one specific issue many oppose has to be bought like you are in for a dime and you are in for a dollar is just plain wrong.

    That is a straw man of no respectable worth.

    Each issue stands on it’s own.

    To suggest otherwise is ignoring the obvious.

  20. MerlinOS2 says:

    FE

    It’s a wrapper program fragment that eliminates all the having to remember the syntax of the html magic and the issues brought up when a typo crashes the code attempt.

    I can’t claim the original find, even though I frequent the Firefox site.

    It was brought to my attention over at JustOneMinute blog by a lady named LadySara.

    She deserves the credit.