Nov 01 2006

More Dems?

Published by at 11:49 am under 2006 Elections,All General Discussions

The latest polls show a huge shift to the dems, which is why pollsters are loading their samples with more dems than is logically prudent. My feeling is the silent majority is back and they are not interested in pollsters and pundits anymore. The one aspect of the blogosphere lost on everyone is people can now safely come to their own conclusions. We don’t need talking heads and media elites – from either party. And in fact, I think most of us are a bit tired of the whole antique political establishment.

So when Rasmussen reports more Democrats are responding to his phone surveys, is this a change in the electorate’s political leanings or a change in the electorate’s interest in pollsters? My guess is the latter. I may be wrong – but I would say there are plenty of indicators to show the pollster are kidding themselves – again. Either way, a major hit will happen on Nov 7. It will be a whack on the Dems and the Pollsters, or a whack on the Reps. If you look at the skewing in the latest zogby polls, but the study 50-50 nature of the close races, my bet is the pollsters are the ones heading for a drubbing. To see the skewing select any zogby polled candidate and check zogby’s numbers to the other recent polls. He is way out in left field – literally.

14 responses so far

14 Responses to “More Dems?”

  1. For Enforcement says:

    I never look at DailyKos, for obvious reasons, but I was interested in seeing how they were playing the Kerry business.
    Maybe I missed it, BUT NOT ONE WORD.

    They don’t even mention it. Strange

  2. semperfiaz says:

    AJ, I hope your right, but I’m just not getting a feel for it, and I don’t think my area is covered by a giant, invisible bubble. But I do think that two of your points are the best and most realistic hope. The polls are skewed, and that there are huge numbers of unaccounted for voters who are tired of all the crap. Now, as long as they all vote!

  3. ivehadit says:

    And the best part of this, is that when the dems lose big time on 11/7, they are going to think that Kerry did it to them-not their hard left comrades and global socialist partners….(who are the real culprits).

    They will repeat the Howard Dean mistakes in ’08…

    Kerry represents exactly what the global socialist dems believe: America is bad.

    I am SO SICK of that. Please, please, please all vote straight republican on 11/7.

    Peggy Noonan, are ya listening? If you are still advocating not voting I don’t know how you can look an Iraqi citizen or any of our military in the eye…shameless.

  4. DubiousD says:

    Has anybody seen Reid, Pelosi, or Dean in the news lately? Correct me if I’m wrong, but there’s less than a week to go until the elections and the Democrat triumvirate seems to be largely AWOL.

  5. Limerick says:

    Only word I’ve heard of Pelosi is yesterday she sent a letter to GW requesting that the Justice Department take action to protect minority voting rights……other then that I think Reid sold her some property for Dean to bury Kerry on.

  6. kittymyers says:

    As to the antiquated polling techniques … I hang up when I hear anything on the phone having to do with politics., whether it’s a polster or a recording. Not interested. I know how I’m going to vote.

  7. Taumarunui says:

    Remember the exit polls in 2004? They showed a heavy Dem bias that didn’t pan out. Seems that Repubs didn’t want to talk to polsters, while Dems did. Maybe that trend has continued to this election season.

    I also know a lot of people who have ditched home telephones in favor of cell phones. I don’t know how such people split out in aggregate, but if they vote differently from those who can be polled, then the polls are going to be biased and suspect.

  8. CT says:

    Also in regards to exit polls, I believe much of the polling was also done in urban areas which are largely liberal. Very little was done in the rural areas where conservatives live.

    I’ve never been called to take a poll, but if I were I’d probably hang up on them. Who wants to answer a bunch of loaded for twenty minutes?

  9. Limerick says:

    After watching the Wilson/Madrid debate in NM how the hell can Madrid be +9……are the voters in NM-1 that stupid? Madrid came off like she has been drinking too much Vita-vita-vege-min….I know the absentee ballots almost match 2004 so that should be good news for Wilson.

  10. Limerick says:

    hey here is a poll we WON!……..Whoopie!!!……according to this the nutroots have lost the internet!

  11. the good doctor says:

    Madri looks like she’s having an out of body experience. She’s in la la
    land. I don’t think she’s ahead.

  12. Dc says:

    Well, anything is possible..but I have to tell you that it sure looks like the Dems and the MSM and the pollsters are setting themself up for another mind bending loss. (ie…they are completely misreading and misunderstanding the larger issues that will drive the polls across the various local races). Just like they did in 04…when they were COMPLETELY blind sided by the fact that “Values” were a compelling issue for voters that turned them out. They were all scratching their heads after they lost ….values?

    I’ll just mention one thing….Karl Rove. Karl Rove is relaxed, smiling and says….that the RNC is going to keep not only the Senate but the House too. He’s the only one saying it. What is his track record on these things? You tell me. What’s the polls and MSM track record? We know what the Dems trackrecord has been.

    That right there…is the kiss of death. You can take that to the bank. And that was “before” Lurch stuck his foot in his mouth.

  13. DubiousD says:

    BTW, since it’s 24 hours until Friday and counting, I wonder if we should start taking bets as to what the Democrats’ final October… um… November surprise will be. I can’t believe the Dems have completely shot their wad. More in “character” for them would be to unleash something on the Reps on Friday and let it play over the entire weekend news cycle.

  14. Dc says:

    They’ve been too busy waterboarding Kerry trying to get him to apologize. Dean was on TV tonite (CNN of course), suggesting that he feels that the public let go of the Foley thing way too soon and suggested they should think about it some more. (hahaha).

    Take a look at most of the hot races..and who the DNC ran. They are all republican lites. Even the DNC knows they can’t run a BDS liberal in a “redstate”. What does that tell you about their “message” and how much of a finger they have on this? And remember…they are up against Rove. There is no doubt both sides have an “excellent” mudslinging dept. But, that’s not going to get it done either.