Aug 30 2006

Keane Ahead In NJ Poll

Published by at 7:00 pm under 2006 Elections,All General Discussions

Two elements of good news are in a new poll out on the NJ senate: The first is Republican Keane is leading incumbent Menendez by four points (which given the MoE of the poll makes it a ‘statistical’ tie). Second, Keane will race ahead once he deals with the Iraq war issue or it is eclipsed by other issues, like national security against terrorist attacks here in the US.:

A portion of Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind Poll designed to test the impact of national issues on the race indicated that if the war were not a factor, Kean could be leading Menendez by 47-36 percent. As it stands, however, 43 percent of voters polled said they favor Kean to 39 percent for Menendez, a difference that matches the poll’s sampling error margin and makes the race a virtual tie.

The fact people are ready to flock to Keane is important. The fact Menendez, being the quasi incumbent is well below 40% and way behind is huge. I would put this in the leans Rep column – but I already had it there! All Keane needs to do is listen to Dick Morris and he wins.

One response so far

One Response to “Keane Ahead In NJ Poll”

  1. For Enforcement says:

    Good news, listening to some in the news you’d be led to think that the Dems may have a chance in the house, but reading AJ’s assessment, I think he has the best take on the whole election and I think he’s right, terrorism is gonna be the deciding factor and the Dems don’t have a chance if it is. The more their views are known, the less chance the Dems have.