Sep 19 2016

Three Clear Signs Of Trump-Pence Momentum

Published by at 11:20 am under 2016 Elections,All General Discussions


It seems Les Deplorables are truly rising up in protest against the Political Elites. Three clear signs have been detected that America (64% who feel we are on the “Wrong Track”) are in no mood for a typical, flawed politician for President.

Sign Number 1 – tilt in polls to Trump:

A recent Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll of the state, however, found Clinton’s lead shrinking from 11 points to just 3 — within the poll’s margin of error.

Michigan wasn’t the only state that swung toward the Republican nominee:

  • In Ohio, Trump has a clear advantage at this point in the race. Polls there showed him up 3, 4, and 5 points this week.
  • Iowa, which has voted Democratic in six of the past seven elections, also looks firmly in the Trump camp right now. A Monmouth University survey of the state found him up 8.
  • Florida is as much of a toss-up state as they come, with a bit of a Trump bend in the past week. Two polls there gave the real-estate mogul a 4-point lead, while another showed Clinton up 2 points.
  • Colorado and Virginia, two Democratic-leaning states that leaned more and more toward Clinton in recent weeks, both saw significant recent swings toward Trump. In the former, an Emerson College survey put Trump up 4 in the state. In the latter, Trump trailed by just 3 in a University of Mary Washington poll, though a Public Policy Polling survey found Clinton up a comfortable 8 points.
  • In Nevada, a Monmouth survey found Trump up 2, a 6-point swing from August. Clinton leads by less than a point in the state’s polling average.

Reuters’ projections now see Election Day coming down to a photo finish, showing a 60% chance of a Clinton win by 18 electoral votes. Nate Silver’s forecast at FiveThirtyEight also gives Clinton 60% odds as of Saturday.

Sign Number 2 – GOP Gains in New Voter registration:

Republicans added hundreds of thousands of voters to the rolls since 2012 in states including Florida and Arizona, and narrowed the gap in North Carolina, according to data compiled by The Associated Press. In Iowa, Republicans prevented Democrats from surpassing them, aided by a court ruling upholding a ban on voting by ex-felons, who often register as Democrats.

Sign Number 3 – Trump Destroys Small Donation Record:

Remember when Donald Trump was having trouble fundraising?

Well, now he’s breaking records.

He’s gone from ending May with $1.2 million in cash on hand to breaking GOP records with small donations.

Trump has collected about $100 million from donors who have given less than $200, according to Politico.

No other Republican has ever amassed that much from small donations in a singe campaign, according to the report. The $5, $10 and $20 donations are typically collected by Democrats, and helped Barack Obama win the presidency twice and gave Bernie Sanders a deep run in the Democratic primary this year.

Even more surprising is that Trump has done all this in less than three months, as he didn’t start soliciting donations until June 21.

“He’s the Republican Obama in terms of online fundraising,” a source told Politico.

These indicators point to a large wave of protest voters rallying behind Trump.  Especially the record number of small donors. If the GOP is seeing a swarm of new voters rallying behind Trump (not the GOP of course) then the polls are probably not reflecting the 2016 turnout as they should. The one poll that does screen based more on intent than past voting is the one poll showing the greatest Trump lead (now +7).

I think it is time for the Dems to panic!

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