Jun 06 2006

California 50th Prediction

Published by at 4:32 pm under 2006 Elections,All General Discussions

I am going to make a bold prediction on the exit polls:  Busby will be seen as too leniant on immigration and Bilbray will be seen as too strident.  No matter which one wins, there will be a significant opposition to the hard left-right positions.

19 responses so far

19 Responses to “California 50th Prediction”

  1. wcvarones says:

    I think Bilbray wins.

    I think the public is very close to Bilbray’s view on illegal immigration.

  2. Terrye says:

    I think a majority of people support comprehensive immigration reform, but they do not think that people can vote without papers or whatever that silly Busby woman said. They want secure borders and better enforcement and some sort of sane work programs for a limited number of people… they don’t want people to be too soft or too strident.

  3. crosspatch says:

    uhm, the polls are still open for another three hours, WCV

  4. wcvarones says:

    I know. I’m giving you tomorrow’s news today.

  5. crosspatch says:

    Say! Do you have the sports section?

  6. SallyVee says:

    Early California results, with 11.4% of the vote counted:


    BRIAN BILBRAY – REP / 20448 / 50.60%

    FRANCINE BUSBY – DEM / 17329 / 42.88%

    W. GRIFFITH – IND / 1846 / 4.57%

    PAUL KING – LIB / 792 / 1.96%


  7. wcvarones says:

    I told you!

    Bilbray is hurt by Republican corruption, Bush, etc.

    But his immigration stand is an overwhelming positive, and it will carry him to victory.

  8. crosspatch says:

    NO! Those stats are for the Primary election for the November election. Those arent returns for the special election

  9. crosspatch says:

    There are two separate elections for CA-50 happening.

    One is a head to head special election.

    The other is a primary election for who runs in November. The winner of this special election only serves 5 months and must run again.

  10. crosspatch says:

    As of 10:45 PM PST with 124 of 500 precincts (24.8%)

    Bilbray – 50.2%
    Busby – 44.1%

  11. The two main Republican candidates repudiate President Bush’s Comprehensive illegal importation act sponsored by his friends McCain and Kennedy.

    On another note that crazy Republican Party has got a real sense of humor and irony wrapped up into one neato package. They sent me a request for donations and tried to scare me by declaring if I don’t support them then Kennedy will get his way…well duh. The ridiculous expansion of the Dept of Education was sponsored by envelope please oh thats right Kennedy and his pal Bush pushed that boondoggle through.

    Now we have an even bigger boondoggle and outright fraud being perpetuated by Bush and lets see who is at the top of the list of supporters of the bill in question…HOLY SMOKES there is Kennedy again. How does that happen when the GOP is sending out scare letters warning us about evil Kennedy…maybe they should send some of those scare letters to Presidenti Jorge Bush. Jorge doesn’t appear to have gotten the memo that Kennedy is a bad guy.

    Remind me again why I am supposed to support the Republican Party…to keep people like Kennedy from making laws…oops looks like someone already decided to let him in…why that nappy old President of ours. The same guy who thinks Putin is such a great guy…weeeeeee…fun fun fun.

    Its all so much nappy fun.

  12. Terrye says:


    The win might have had something to do with the fact that they are safe Republican seats in any event.

    But truth is that people in large majorities support comprehensive immigration reform. They think the system is broken and they want it fixed, they do not think in silly terms like “illegal importation act”. The very words sound unsophisticated, uninformed, shallow and unserious. After all, Bush is the first president in history who has made securing the border a priority in rhetoric or deed.

  13. HaroldHutchison says:

    Pierre’s post shows just exactly why I am finding myself less and less comfortable with conservatism.

  14. wcvarones says:

    Pierre is exactly right.

    What is the point of voting for Republicans when they will govern like Democrats?

    Unless you think holding hopeless gay-bashing votes on the Senate floor is an important function of government.

  15. And the responses of Terrye and Harold show why “moderate” Republicans are such a disaster at the polls. Your positions flow with the wind….

    Perhaps no one can remember but Reagan was no moderate…no matter how much y’all might wish that he was. He was the most successful Republican because he was extreme. Love it. Neither hot nor cold I spit thee out.


  16. HaroldHutchison says:

    No, Pierre, you don’t get it.

    Take your false piety and shove it where it might do you some good.

  17. AJStrata says:


    These people are not yours to spit out. You either deal with them or have no voice. Insults will not work.

    And us so called ‘moderates’ bend to no one. We have never changed positions or bought into the angry right’s tirades. We keep our cool and our maximize our rational side. Weak? LOL! Never.

  18. Well AJ you just finished declaring you were a conservative now you are a moderate…not being able to make up your mind is a telltale of a moderate.

    Anne Coulter is no Conservative. She cannot be. Either that or I am no conservative.

  19. momdear1 says:

    I don’t understand why you guys keep saying most Americans want this comprehensive immigration reform thingy. I live in East Tennessee where we have 8% and 9% unemployment in some counties and the non English speaking immigrant population has risen from 40,000 to over 100,000 in the past five years. Our local WalMart is full of short dumpy, dark skinned peoples , with hordes of stair stepped children, chattering in foreign languages and buying expensive food stuffs. At least one local company fired all it’s workers and replaced them with all Mexicans. The Catholic church has built an enormous church out here in East Lower Nowhere TN to accommodate all these new would be citizens. They even imported in a Spanish speaking Priest. We have had racial “incidents” (riots) in our local schools and so called “hate” crimes targeting immigrant oriented businesses. The way I see it, it doesn’t look like many of our old timers like what is happening in our area. We didn’t invite them and we don’t like being overrun by them. I’ll bet the majority of people in this country feel the same way. Marilyn