Dec 06 2010

Earth Puts The Freeze On Global Warming

Update: UK MET office has determined the alarmists cries of rising oceans was were ‘wrong’:

Alarming predictions that global warming could cause sea levels to rise 6ft in the next century are wrong, it has emerged.

The forecast made by the influential 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which would have seen cities around the world submerged by water, now looks ‘unlikely’.

The new Government funded study, says the worst case scenario is now a one metre (3.3 ft) rise.

In 2007 the IPCC reported preliminary evidence that the Atlantic conveyor belt that brings warm water north and keeps Britain relatively mild for its latitude during winters was breaking down.

But more recent observations show the currents are stable.

As with all alarmist predictions, the word ‘unlikely’ seems to be a good way to describe all of the end-of-the-world cries we have had to put up with over the last 20 years. – end update

It seems Gaia has decided the global warming alarmists are too full of hot air. Mother nature has been putting on quite a show in the heart of global warming paranoia – specifically the nation that hosts the CRU. The UEA CRU are those folks who cooked Gaia’s books to create the impression of warming from raw data that shows no warming within the precision of the available data. And Gaia is now sending a message:

At least 60 people have died across Europe during the current cold snap, as snow plagued transport in Britain on Friday and serious flooding prompted mass evacuations in the Balkans.

Temperatures plunged to minus 20 degrees Celsius (minus four Fahrenheit) in Braemar, Scotland, while Britain struggled to get back to its feet after days of transport chaos.

London’s Gatwick airport reopened on Friday after a two-day shutdown due to snow, but others including London Heathrow and Glasgow warned of more cancellations and delays.

Many trains were cancelled due to snow and travel by road was slow going, and around 2,000 schools remained closed.

This from the nation whose media cockily predicted the end of snow in the UK. Seems Gaia was not pleased with such gall and has been putting on a show to remind humanity of their puny abilities.

The truth is of course less science fiction (or bad science) than simply normal history. Humans have a very tough time, in general, recalling with precision events and conditions ten years back, let alone 50 or 60. We forget that it takes the Earth a long time to recover from ice ages – 100’s of years. We are just as likely to simply be warming back up to Roman and Medieval levels than seeing CO2 cause runaway warming.

Sanity is beginning to return with the colder weather:

Never mind that Britain, just as it was last winter and the winter before, was deep in the grip of a cold snap, which has seen some temperatures plummet to minus 20C, and that here 2010 has been the coolest year since 1996.

But buried amid the details of those two Met Office statements 12 months apart lies a remarkable climbdown that has huge implications – not just for the Met Office, but for debate over climate change as a whole.

Read carefully with other official data, they conceal a truth that for some, to paraphrase former US VicePresident Al Gore, is really inconvenient: for the past 15 years, global warming has stopped.

Earlier this year, a paper by Michael Mann – for years a leading light in the IPCC, and the author of the infamous ‘hockey stick graph’ showing flat temperatures for 2,000 years until the recent dizzying increase – made an extraordinary admission: that, as his critics had always claimed, there had indeed been a ‘ medieval warm period’ around 1000 AD, when the world may well have been hotter than it is now.

Other research is beginning to show that cyclical changes in water vapour – a much more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide – may account for much of the 20th Century warming.

Even Phil Jones, the CRU director at the centre of last year’s ‘Climategate’ leaked email scandal, was forced to admit in a little noticed BBC online interview that there has been ‘no statistically significant warming’ since 1995.

So, no warming in at least 15 years. I am not surprised since I did an analysis of CRU raw data last November and discovered that the current ‘climate’ is not all that different from the 1930’s and early 1940’s. It seems that we really have just been recovering from the cold spell that hit in the 1940’s.

And what of the future? Some strong evidence shows 3 decades of pretty damn cold temperatures is what we may actually see from Gaia:

It was thought that carbon dioxide emissions rather than the sun was the bigger effect on climate change. Now a major re-think is taking place.

The upshot is that Gavin is not alone in predicting we face another 30 frozen years, each getting progressively colder than the last.

Of course, some die hard fanatics are still holding out that AFTER the other forces on our climate are through doing their thing, man-made global warming should appear. Not likely. The fanatics overplayed their imprecise data. They claimed 1998 and 2005 where the warmest on record, when in fact they knew statistically all the data could say is today’s climate is about the same as the 1930’s warm spell:

The admission is found in a tidbit in one email, where GISS admits their standard deviation is 0.47 °C (which begs the question about any warming trend measured at 0.8 °C). What this means is the years, 1934, 1998, 1921, 2006, 1931, 1999, 1953, 1990, 1938 and 1939 (the top 10 ‘warmest’ years in America) are all statistically the same ‘warmth’. They all fall within the GISS claimed standard deviation.

Not only has Phil Jones and Michael Mann admitted their wild conclusions do not stand up to their own data, but one of their allies investigating their work admitted the data is so imprecise we have no idea whether today is warmer or colder than previous periods.

All this leads to quite a show down next year, when the GOP Congress gets to take on the EPA – an out of control agency that has lost its collective mind to global warming madness. As the IPCC’s credibility crumbles and carbon exchanges disappear like so much snake oil seeping into the sand, the GOP should be able to expose the unprofessional and unfounded actions of Obama’s political appointees and their rush to control the planet’s energy options. Even more fascinating, is the method they have at their disposal to take on the EPA – a little used congressional tool left over from the Clinton-Gringrich days:

Senate Republicans may use a different tool in their minority efforts to contain the EPA’s efforts to impose climate-change regulation by fiat, a rarely-used law called the Congressional Review Act. Created in 1996, the law essentially allows Congress to veto regulatory changes created by executive branch agencies, and may become a sledgehammer in battling the Obama administration’s regulatory innovations:

As they say – pass the popcorn, this is going to be good.

8 responses so far

8 Responses to “Earth Puts The Freeze On Global Warming”

  1. Mike M. says:

    I’d be more inclined to pull the EPA’s budget. The Navy needs new ships desperately, and every penny of non-Defense spending needs to be squeezed out.

    And I don’t WANT it to get colder. I bunged my elbow up shoveling snow last winter – and I like my convertibles. Driving with the top down is one of the Great Joys of Life.

  2. […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Free To Prosper, AJ Strata. AJ Strata said: new: Earth Puts The Freeze On Global Warming http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/15564 […]

  3. WWS says:

    meanwhile, the talks at Cancun continue to slouch towards collapse.

    Want to know the easiest way to prove this conference is a disaster? This was supposed to be “the Last, Best, Hope for Earth.”

    watch the MSM – you won’t see a single story about the conference. They’re pretending that it isn’t even taking place.

    don’t lament that fact, just acknowledge that, in today’s world….
    This is what Victory looks like!

  4. The very first post I put on my blog ( A Perspective on Man-Made Global Warming (Excuse me: “Climate Change”) ) was a challenge to Al Gore’s “The science has been settled!”. I tried to visualize a 4.6 kilometer (a bit under three miles) timeline of the age of the earth, noting…
    ———————————————–
    The portion of that time-line during which precise temperature measurements were recorded would be literally microscopic.

    And from that tiny portion, we dare to make really long range climate predictions, and mandate actions based on them? And decide to totally destroy our economy because of them?
    ———————————————–

    I totally stand by that.

  5. […] environmental bill in lame-duck session – hotair.com 12/06/2010 Priorities. more… Earth Puts The Freeze On Global Warming – strata-sphere.com 12/06/2010 It seems Gaia has decided the global warming alarmists are too […]

  6. kathie says:

    Poor, poor Gorzie boy…..he is one big looser!

  7. crosspatch says:

    “I’d be more inclined to pull the EPA’s budget.”

    Obama is asking for increased authority from Congress to shuffle money between departments. If Congress de-funds EPA, Obama wants the authority to divert money from other departments to make up the difference.