Jan 16 2010

InTrade Moving Away From Coakley

Published by at 12:14 pm under All General Discussions

Just one more undeniable piece of evidence of the momentum behind this huge wave:

InTrade, possibly the most accurate political prediction market in the U.S., now shows the Scott Brown vs. Martha Coakley special election as a dead heat. Less than 48 hours ago, Coakley was trading 77 to 23 over Brown.

With this trajectory Brown could be up 10 by election day.

Update: Scratch that – Coakley is already down 10 as of 2:22 PM Eastern

10 responses so far

10 Responses to “InTrade Moving Away From Coakley”

  1. oneal lane says:

    There is a lot of wishful and hopeful thinking going on.

    I would like to join in, but from what I am reading the race is basically neck and neck. The results will be 1 to 2 % difference, maybe less.

    The Dems will pull out the stops to cheat their way through this!!!
    This is the New Democrat party. They do not play by the rules.

  2. WWS says:

    Intrade is a good indicator of what the current public perception is.

    But that may or may not have anything to do with any physical truth. Look at the record of last month’s bowl games or last weekends playoff games – heavily favored teams lose and underdogs win all the time.

    But I do think it is idiotic for Obama to suddenly jump in when it’s too late to make a difference. I’d say everyone who’s going to vote has already made up their minds by now. It’s just a matter of tabulating the official results.

  3. Toes192 says:

    Don’t count your chickens until they’re hatched, Aj…
    Your son would tell you that when you get the enemy backtracking… on the defense… making mistakes… That’s the time to launch more attacks… All the way to Tuesday AM…
    Keep it up…

  4. Toes192 says:

    Hehe… 13 of 15 of your last posts are on Scott Brown… Are you sure you weren’t a Marine in a former life, Aj?

  5. penguin2 says:

    Right; we cannot count the chickens too soon. We really don’t have any chickens to count yet! But staying strong, and not letting up for one minute, and we may have victory. Even if it is close and we cannot keep them from “stealing” the race, we will have won a great victory. It certainly will be a very strong message to Dems across the country. But incumbents of both parties need to pay attention, because the Independents are fed up with both parties. And of course, the line that needs to be repeated across the nation in every upcoming election:

    “It is the peoples’ seat”

  6. momdear1 says:

    While you are concentrating all your attention on Massachusetts Obama is proving his total incompetence once again in Haiti. The earthquake hits on Tuesday and it’s now Saturday and those poor people are still without water. Where was our emergency preparedness team? Were they all out on vacation and ski trips? Just how long would it take to load up helicoptors and boats with body bags and water? Dead people piled up inthe streets..People without water for 4 days. How long does it take for those people who come here in those rickety boats to get from Haiti to Fla.? Surely it isn’t as long as it’s taken Obama to get his head out of his a-s and send meaningful help. Just how incompetent can this guy be? Bush had a hospital ship in New York Harbor within hours of 911. And remember when Bush sent the Navy Seals to rescue those trapped miners? They were there within hours. It’s beginning to look like our community organizer can’t organize anything but demonstrations, sit-ins, and riots .When it comes to knowing how to solve a problem he hasn’t got a clue, and he has surrounded himself with advisors who have’t a clue either. God help us.

  7. AJStrata says:

    momdear1 and others,

    There are people on the way and there already. All flights in and out are being run from the midwest here in the US. We don’t have emergency plans for Haiti in the sense we mobilize in 24 hours.

    We are doing the best humanly possible – don’t go down that Katrina cesspool.


  8. WWS says:

    agree with AJ, Obama is letting the military do its best and hasn’t gotten in the way so far. It’s a matter of logistics, momdear – there are probably 3 million people at risk in the area (don’t know if anyone knows the exact numbers, it could be higher.)

    When you said “bring in water” – say each person should have a gallon of water per day total, do you know how physically huge 3 million gallons of water is? You *can’t* “fly that in”, even if there *were* a working airport that could take large cargo planes, which there isn’t right now. Teams have got to go on, clear the debris, and try to get the local infrastructure working again, and till then people will have to survive on things like rainwater and whatever they can scrounge. They’re in for a long, hard haul here, and many will not survive.

    This is a process that is going to take a very long time, since we’re just doing triage so far. Given the destruction of the infrastructure and subsequent fresh water contamination which will last for weeks if not months, there is probably no way to prevent a massive typhus epidemic from setting in soon. But when this happens, momdear, it won’t be the fault of the aidgivers. The problem is too big, and some of the really sad consequences are going to happen even after we make our best efforts.

  9. ivehadit says:

    Intrade: 54.5 to 45.3 as of 4:48 EST. Croakley down 15.7!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  10. crosspatch says:

    Coakley’s internal polls are showing a two point race with Brown ahead.