Looks like it could very well be a historic wipe out in MA Tuesday. RCP is reporting that of the 9% of Massachusetts voters who voted absentee (which ended yesterday) Brown is winning 58-42, or 16%. This is right in line with my computations this morning, which indicate Coakley could lose by as much as […]

Just one more undeniable piece of evidence of the momentum behind this huge wave: InTrade, possibly the most accurate political prediction market in the U.S., now shows the Scott Brown vs. Martha Coakley special election as a dead heat. Less than 48 hours ago, Coakley was trading 77 to 23 over Brown. With this trajectory Brown could […]

I seriously wonder about the mental stability of some of the political geniuses now running politics in this country. The Political Industrial Complex is the control-freak industry which runs politicians, and includes the news media, the consultants and campaign aids, the staff and lobbyists. And of course the front people – the politicians themselves. The […]

What we are seeing in the way of public polls and rumors about internal polls for the Massachusetts special election is just stunning. The last two public polls to come out had Coakley behind by 4% and 15%. I seriously doubt the 15% lead for Brown, but the fact is it is completely plausible given […]

This is a politically naive move: President Barack Obama will campaign for Massachusetts Senate candidate Martha Coakley on Sunday, POLITICO has learned, a sign that Democrats believe the seat remains winnable enough that it’s worth risking the president’s prestige. Apparently our young president cannot help but try and prove he still has some magical political […]

Major Update: Jim Geraghty’s “number cruncher” confirms my analysis using an independent methodology and concludes: So the question remains what about the whole “special election dynamic” I believe it favors Brown, although, I think there will be some watering down of this advantage. What we are seeing is BROWN winning this race hands down. On […]

I would say today is going to be an interesting day in DC. Speaker Pelosi, Senate Leader Reid and President Obama are going to be faced with a whole new world today. This new world will arise as news of the pending loss of Ted Kennedy’s senate seat (see here and here for all the […]

Another Major Update: The writing is on the wall. Coakley’s internal polls show at least a 5 point loss, Dems pivot to damage control spin. “So right now, she is destined to lose.” It’s over. Major Update: Brown surges into lead in latest poll: The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, […]

Updates Below! Major Update: Looks like I may not be that far off: Coakley’s internal poll last night, I’ve been told, showed her barely ahead, 46 to 44 percent. The momentum clearly favors Brown, and one very smart Massachusetts Democrat I know told me this morning that “this may be too far gone to recover.” And that […]

There is one thing of value to do with the massive amounts of unspent stimulus money stuck in the constipated bowels of the federal bureaucracy – spend it on Haiti. The amount of money we have left unspent on make-busy jobs is astounding. This first graph shows the amount of funds allocates to each organization […]