Via Powerline: Ken Mehlman adds another poll to the mounting good news for Republicans: the Democracy Corps poll, a Democratic outfit, finds the Dems with only a four-point edge on the generic preference ballot, 49%-45%, with the Republicans closing fast. Generic polls are, of course, of limited importance, but together with other data the evidence […]

Update: Note the new link for the Michigan surprise (I wrote MN, meant MI!). If Reps turnout in a massive GOTV effort, Santorum and/or DeWine could salvage themsleves and MI could fall That would be a 2-3 seat Senate pickup (NJ and MD in the bag by then). And the House would see narry a […]

My first post on analyzing the House races was two weeks ago and remains the basis for my final post on predictions today. As is my second post I did last week. In order to save a little time in the writing of this, I am just going to note in this post if any […]

Ever since Gallup polls dumped CNN, the CNN polls have been crude, amatuerish efforts. Today’s poll shows Dems leading Reps 58-38, nearly 2-1. So why is Steele dogging Cardin if this poll is true? Why is Menendez in the fight for his life? MD and NJ are deep, deep blue states and if there was […]

Ace of Spades has news of CNN coming to the rescue of Liberals frightened by all the latest polls coming out. The left and CNN are only fooling themselves! Reps and Cons are going to the polls no matter what CNN broadcasts. So what is the point of this now one day before the election? […]

The NY Times has just made the case for the Rep Congress in an unforced error. Today the Times called for Saddam’s execution to be ‘deferred’. This signal is clear. Even a brutal mass murderer who established child torture centers and numerous rape rooms and filled countless mass graves should be spared. We can all […]

Updates At The End About a week ago I did my first detailed forecast on the Senate using a bias correction for the polls that has been regular and systemic for years (before that I was intuitively bullish on a Rep pickup of 1-2 seats) . It is a step required on early polls since […]

I am awaiting the final flurry of House Polls at RCP before I do my final calls today. Not to mention getting some work done (on that note, I will be in meetings all morning tomorrow so I will be posting in the afternoon at the earlies). But let’s set the stage with where we […]

This election still boils down to whether we want to spend the next two years in congressional investigations and impeachment hearings (even as a PR campaign for ’08) or whether we will keep our eyes and ears on our enemy and focus on the War on Terror? The Democrats have never once believed terrorism is […]