Oct 30 2008
Poll Schocker – McCain and Obama Tied In Pennsylvania
It seems those rumors of Obama being in trouble in PA might very well be true:
Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 9
Dates conducted: Oct. 27-28. Error margin: 4 points.
Given the margin of error this is a statistical tie.
And I bet it’s even closer. Bittergate and Murtha’s “racist” crack have to be costing The One in western PA.
Are you aware of any body of work that analyzed the MOE and determined what percentage of results break for or against the poll leader?
VA Voter,
Not off the top of my head, though there is a theory out there (backed by some data) that ‘the challenger’ can get up to 70% of the undecideds in the final stretch.
If you trust my memory that is your own fault!
Cheers, AJStrata
I hope this is true! I live in Pittsburgh and my neighborhood (as well as many of the surrounding neighborhoods) is loaded with Obama yard signs… I haven’t been out to the suburbs lately, so I’m hoping there will be some substantial McCain-Palin supporters out there.
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