Oct 01 2008
Obama Sliding In The Polls Since Debate And Bailout Defeat
Well, it seems the ABC News/Washington Post poll I noted earlier was not really an outlier but a predictor, given today’s Gallup Daily Tracking Poll showing the same 50% cut into Obama’s lead of 8 points last week.
I would not be surprised to see this is just the beginning of another poll drop by Obama given how fast the drop is happening in Gallup’s daily poll. I suspect we will see a delayed reaction in Rasmussen in the next few days. Each poll has a time delay, on top of which there is a time delay built into the public opinion as the people cogitate on events like the Presidential Debate and the failure of the Bailout Package in the House.
Obama promised to lead and keep in touch and ensure a bipartisan solution – he failed. Miserably. And the clear effort by the dems to work more for partisan gain than a national solution did not help matters for the dems.
It has taken time for the word of mouth on Obama’s debate defeat to spread through the public.
The bailout has helped this process since the MSM has been running 24/7 on DC news and has stopped the spin that Obama won the debate. This vacuum has allowed the reasoned oped writers (Byron York) to dominate the debate fallout.
The House debacle has been revealed as a Pelosi trick to dupe the Republicans into providing the support necessary to pass the bailout and then the Democrats using the bill as a campaign issue. How cynical. Pelosi’s speech was a disaster even if Cantor looked childish blaming her speech. The speech was a disgrace.
And that disgrace is reflecting badly on Obama.
Some of those state polls look lousy though. In the recent polls Obama is ahead in Florida. That is not good. But of course those polls are not done as often and not as current as the daily tracking polls. I hope they improve.
I wonder about polls like that some time. They will have these sudden spikes for one candidate or another and then go back again and it seems so odd, as if there are all kinds of people who just can not make up their minds.
For the wider polls the DailyKos/Research 2000 poll is putting a bias into the wider poll sets.
The kos poll is consistently more favorable to Obama and has a wider spread by a factor of two compared to other polls.
Doom, Gloom, Its All Over! Declare Obama President!…
We might as well just stay home on election day! Poll after poll , after poll, after poll , after poll , after poll, after poll has spoken! Its over!!!!! We might as well give up now!
How bad could it possibly be?
Uh oh…a stray one! ??????
…
[…] state numbers look really ridiculous when combined with the last ABC News/Washington Post and Gallup Daily Tracking Polls, each of which shows Obama leading by 4% nationally – and dropping. With Obama only ahead […]