Oct 26 2010

An “Oh … My … God!” Poll In VA

Published by at 11:30 am under 2010 Elections,All General Discussions

OK, I have been watching Democrats fall like dominoes all over the place with a distant pleasure. But it is not until you see a big one fall near your home before you actually feel the rumble of that tsunami coming down in your bones:

A dramatic reversal of fortune in Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, where Republican challenger Morgan Griffith appears to have awoken after 3 months of polling at 40% and today, 7 days until votes are counted, vaults into a tie with incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher, who had been sailing to a 16th term.

In a SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, it’s Griffith 47%, Boucher 46%, within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error. Griffith’s lead may or may not be statistically significant; the contest should be reported as even.

Boucher is one of two Dems I had concluded would survive this wave (the other being Jim Moron Moran). As a long time conservative democrat I just could not see the wave hitting him. Apparently I was wrong. Boucher is right at the 45% death point for incumbents.

Not until this poll did I realize this wave is bloody enormous. It is definitely Hulk time!

21 responses so far

21 Responses to “An “Oh … My … God!” Poll In VA”

  1. AJ,

    I missed your latest post before I dropped this comment.